As of December 24, 13:30, the current price of BTC is approximately 87200 USD, the daily chart shows a bearish-dominated weak oscillation pattern, with low liquidity during the Christmas holiday, focusing on high shorts and supporting low longs, strictly controlling positions and stop loss.

Key Price Level (Multi-Period)

• Support: 87000 (intraday) → 85200 (4H) → 84000-84500 (daily strong support) → 80600 (extreme defense)

• Resistance: 87800 (4H midline) → 88500 (Fibonacci) → 90000 (psychological/trend line) → 94588 (daily confirmation level)

Daily Chart Indicator Overview

• RSI 44.57 (neutral weak), no clear overbought or oversold signals

• The MACD red bars slightly expanded but the main line remains negative, and the short positions structure has not changed.

• The moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, and the price is near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, showing weak rebound.

• Volume shrinks, insufficient liquidity during the holidays, volatility can be amplified.

Executable Strategies (By Scenario)

1. High Altitude Strategy (Main Strategy)

◦ Opening Position: 87500-87800 encounters resistance (top divergence/weak volume), light position 10%-15% short positions

◦ Adding Position: If it rebounds to 88500-89000 and meets resistance again, add 10% to short positions.

◦ stop loss: above 90200 (daily chart resistance + holiday volatility buffer)

◦ Take Profit: First target 85200 (reduce position by 50%), second target 84000-84500 (liquidate position)

2. Low Long Strategy (Assisted)

◦ Open Position: Stabilize at 84000-84500 (bottom reversal type/increased volume rebound), light position 10% long positions

◦ Stop Loss: Below 83500 (reverse if it breaks strong support)

◦ Take profit: 86500-87000 (exit in batches)

3. Response to Breakout

◦ Break above 90200 and hold: Pull back to 89000-89500 to go long, stop loss at 88500, target 92000-93000

◦ Break below 83500: Short on rebound to 84000-84500, stop loss at 85000, target 80600

Risk Control Rules

• Total position ≤30%, single variety ≤15%; single stop loss ≤2% of the account

• Try to hold light positions or liquidate positions before Christmas to avoid low liquidity risks.

• The options delivery week (12.26) is approaching, be wary of a double kill on both bulls and bears, do not chase highs or lows.
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