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#数字资产市场洞察 big dump Sideways breakthrough: The rollover strategy of contracts verified with a principal of 50,000 $ETH $BTC

An old trader once said something that left a deep impression on me - survive, and you will have the chance to turn things around.

In that market wave of 2018, he had a 20x leveraged short position that went bust. In a fit of anger, he kicked the table and ended up in the hospital. At its lowest point, his account had only 30,000 left, but he did not give up. Instead, he realized one thing: rather than fighting frequently, it is better to stay alive and wait. Now, his account has returned to 6 million.

I wrote down this set of ideas and spent 50,000 yuan validating it for a whole year. This is not investment advice, just a trading note—about how to survive longer in the contract market.

**Level One: Stopping the Bleed is More Urgent than Profit**

At the worst time, the account only had 30,000 left. Many people would choose to recover their losses, but recovering often leads to a big dump. What I did was the opposite: I directly withdrew the remaining funds and left 50,000 as new capital to start over.

This may sound like a retreat, but in reality, it is a prerequisite for continuing to play alive. The mindset adjustment is halfway done; the rest is a matter of execution.

**Level Two: Position is the Lifeline**

The rules are very simple, so simple that they are a bit rigid:
- The isolated margin mode operates, with a maximum of 5000 used as collateral for an account of 50,000.
- Leverage not exceeding 10 times, set a 2% hard stop loss
- Only trade small positions to get a feel when there are no clear signals, leaving the principal unchanged.

The core logic is that the principal is always the principal and cannot be used as ammunition.

**Level 3: Wait for the three signals to appear simultaneously**

It's not the right time to open a position all the time. My standards are very strict:

A big dump of more than 50% indicates that the bottom has been fully smashed out. Sideways must be maintained for more than 30 days, as both bulls and bears have used up their strength. Finally, when breaking through the previous high, we need to wait for a confirmation of 3% to prevent getting caught in a false breakout.

Only when the three conditions are met at the same time can it be considered a real entry opportunity.

**Level 4: Profit is the real money**

The 5000 margin is locked and will never be increased. Only the profits earned can be used to add positions. When the increase reaches 10%, use the newly added profits to open another position of 5000, so there will be two 5000s running.

If the market continues to improve and reaches a 50% increase, the account could expand by 3 to 4 times. At this point, withdraw 30% to secure profits, and keep the rest in line with the market.

**Final Insights**

In the cryptocurrency world, those who survive until the end are never the ones who operate daily and frequently increase their positions. The truly valuable skill is knowing when to act and even more importantly, knowing when to stop.

The logic of rollover is essentially about waiting for that inevitable opportunity to arrive.