Recently, the trend of ETH has attracted a lot of attention. It plummeted straight from a high of 3077 to 2987, which is indeed shocking in the short term. However, looking closely at the on-chain data and fundamentals, there are many interesting details hidden behind this drop.



First, let's look at the ETH movement on the exchange. In the past two days, the net inflow has fallen below the average of the past three days, indicating that the previous panic selling has indeed occurred. Interestingly, while retail investors are cutting losses, on-chain data shows that large addresses are continuously buying. During the recent round of decline, an address starting with 0x directly took up an order of 2100 ETH. This type of operation usually occurs when it is believed that the price has been overly depressed.

From a fundamental perspective, the market has long absorbed the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations, and short-term news is unlikely to be the main driver of this wave of decline. Instead, the staking logic of ETH2.0 is worth following—starting tomorrow, the amount of staked assets that will be unlocked will directly decrease by 30%, which means that staking yields will be passively lifted, and the incentives for long-term holding are rising. The expectation of capital inflow is actually quite clear.

On the technical side, after the BOLL bands contracted, there was a downward pin, but the green bars of the MACD have started to shrink, and signs of a DIF turning point are gradually emerging. This combination usually accompanies a rebound signal after a sharp fall. The key support level on the 1-hour timeframe is at 2960 (which resonates with the previous low and MA60), leaving about 20 points of space from the current 2987.

Based on these observations, this drop resembles more of an entry opportunity created by short-term emotional release rather than a trend reversal. If there is an intention to participate, the idea of building positions in phases may be worth considering. The target range for the rebound could be between 3050-3080.
ETH-1,77%
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ChainChefvip
· 2025-12-26 03:29
ngl those whale addresses gobbling up 2100 eth while retail panic sells is the kind of market seasoning i live for... classic recipe for a relief bounce imo
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staking_grampsvip
· 2025-12-23 05:57
OMG, retail investors have cut losses again, while large investors are quietly buying the dip. The smart contracts address is frantically accumulating, isn't this signal obvious enough? The stake unlock has decreased by 30%, and the real long-term holders have finally emerged. I don't really understand those technical indicators, but the actions of large investors never lie. I've noted down the 2960 point, just waiting for the rebound. In the past, I would have panicked and sold during this drop, but now I've learned to be smarter. Large investors are taking orders for 2100 ETH, what do we small retail investors count for? The explanation about stake logic is well written; finally, someone has clarified it. Every plummet is an entry opportunity; the key is whether you have enough courage. I'll run when it rebounds to 3050, not being greedy.
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AirdropHunterKingvip
· 2025-12-23 05:55
Ha, retail investors are cutting losses while we are scooping up. This trick is old. The large Address received 2100 coins, I knew this wave is a Whipsaw, not dumping. The stake has reduced by 30%, this detail is good. Those who really hold long-term are waiting for this. Waiting for a Rebound to around 3050, then I will start entering a position in batches, not being greedy.
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Ser_Liquidatedvip
· 2025-12-23 05:44
Large Investors are starting to sweep up again, the tears of retail investors are their dinner. --- Can the 2960 support level really hold? It feels a bit weak. --- The 30% reduction in staking unlocks is indeed interesting, but saying that funds will flow back now is still too optimistic, right? --- It's again about building a position in phases, 3050-3080... I've heard this too many times. --- I just want to know where it will stop after breaking 2960. --- Is this round of decline really just emotional release? I don't think it's that simple. --- Large Addresses are catching a falling knife, I like this move, at least someone is buying the dip. --- I've seen the MACD green bars shrink, but the signs of DIF turning... are a bit hard to see. --- After a 90-point fall, they start telling stories, I'm familiar with this routine.
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