The Fed's probability of a rate cut in January has fallen to 19.9%, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged until March is 44.7%.

MarsBitNews · 2025-12-22T11:05:48+00:00

According to a report from Mars Finance on December 22, data from CME's "Fed Watch" indicates that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has fallen below 20%, currently reported at 19.9%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is 80.1%. Last week, the probability of a rate cut by the Fed in January had risen to 31%. The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate unchanged until March next year is 44.7%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 46.5% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut at 8.8%. The dates for the next two FOMC meetings of the Fed are January 28, 2026, and March 18.

MarsBitNews

2025-12-22 11:05:48

According to Mars Finance, on December 22, data from CME's “Fed Watch” shows that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has fallen below 20%, currently reported at 19.9%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is 80.1%. Last week, the probability of the Fed cutting rates in January rose to 31%. The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate unchanged until March next year is 44.7%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 46.5%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 50 basis points is 8.8%. The dates for the next two FOMC meetings are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026.

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