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Bitcoin Analysts Oppose
Bitcoin analysts oppose Grayscale's view, arguing that underperformance against gold and breaking moving averages often indicate selling during price declines rather than market peaks. Onchain analyst, Chekmit, stated that the situation depends more on social narratives than data, while Troy Cross, a researcher at the Bitcoin Policy Institute, described the expectation as a trade based on perceived quantum risks rather than an actual cryptographic threat.
Flows, Declining Value, and Long-Term Strategy
Market data remains mixed. After significant outflows in November, US spot Bitcoin ETFs returned to modest net inflows in December. The hypothesis of currency devaluation still supports many long-term positive outlooks for Bitcoin alongside gold, even though some macroeconomists now favor tactical caution.
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Macroeconomic Concerns and Quantum Computing Fears
Groman's comments come amid a backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty, weak US economic data, and questions about Bitcoin's ability to sustain its gains after the launch of spot ETFs. Meanwhile, concerns about quantum computing have shifted from being theoretical to a perceived medium-term risk in some market circles, even as most cryptography experts confirm that real threats remain distant.
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