12.13 ETH Afternoon Market Analysis

I. Logical Support

1. Technical Perspective: The 3000 level is forming a quadruple bottom (the previous three lows were 2620/2740/2900). The current price of 3090 is near the lower Bollinger Band at 3080, receiving support, and the 4-hour chart has not effectively broken below the key support zone; although the daily EMA15 has been lost, short-term multi-cycle support is resonating, and downward momentum is weakening marginally.
2. Market Perspective: Today is Saturday, and liquidity is relatively weak, likely continuing narrow-range consolidation. Although there is volatility expectation due to the 6.4 billion USD ETH options expiry, the current battle between bulls and bears is balanced, with no clear breakout signals.
3. Key Levels: 3100-3150 is the short-term trading congestion zone lower boundary; 3050-3000 is a strong support band. Before breaking through these ranges, a one-sided trend is unlikely.

II. Trend Qualitative Analysis

Short-term consolidation within the range of 3050-3150, with no clear bullish or bearish reversal signals. This is a weak rebound phase after a previous decline, and confirmation of the direction requires breakout of the range.

III. Practical Targets (Precise and Executable)

1. Bullish Strategy: Support at 3060-3080 with bullish engulfing candlestick, enter with light position, stop loss at 2950 (below the quadruple bottom key level), target 3130-3150, and extension to 3200 if broken.
2. Bearish Strategy: Resistance at 3150-3170 with bearish engulfing candlestick, try short position with light size, stop loss at 3250 (near previous high resistance), target 3100-3080, and if broken, look towards 3050-3000.

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