FOMC decision lands, and the volatility squeeze kicks in immediately. Check the numbers: implied volatility (ATM) is already compressing hard across the board—1-week through 6-month options all feeling the pinch.
Here's what's happening: lower IV = options get priced for smaller moves. Makes sense when you think about it. The big policy catalyst just got crossed off, so markets are basically saying "okay, we saw what we needed to see." Uncertainty's getting wrung out of the system.
The de-pricing of risk is real. Traders rotating from "what if" mode back to normal operations.
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FromMinerToFarmer
· 8h ago
IV crashes, and options are directly entering winter... That sense of "what if" is completely gone.
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StrawberryIce
· 8h ago
IV is starting to squeeze again, and this round's pace is quite fast.
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StableNomad
· 8h ago
ngl this IV crush hits different when you remember what happened to vol sellers back in '22... smart money's already rotating but statistically speaking, this "normalization" phase is where the real traps happen. seen this movie before, not catching me flat-footed again
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CrossChainBreather
· 8h ago
IV collapsed, and boring operations started again...
FOMC decision lands, and the volatility squeeze kicks in immediately. Check the numbers: implied volatility (ATM) is already compressing hard across the board—1-week through 6-month options all feeling the pinch.
Here's what's happening: lower IV = options get priced for smaller moves. Makes sense when you think about it. The big policy catalyst just got crossed off, so markets are basically saying "okay, we saw what we needed to see." Uncertainty's getting wrung out of the system.
The de-pricing of risk is real. Traders rotating from "what if" mode back to normal operations.