The Federal Reserve just finished its meeting, and the recent market movements in the crypto space have indeed been a bit awkward. The general consensus a while ago was that prices would surge before pulling back, but the actual trend hasn't been so smooth—every time prices dip, buy orders immediately step in. An unexpected factor also gave this wave a push: last week, U.S. unemployment benefit applications suddenly increased significantly, causing the US dollar index to weaken, which in turn became a support for crypto prices.

From a technical perspective, the details reveal themselves. On the short-term chart#数字资产生态回暖 hourly(, the MACD's red bars are clearly shrinking, and the two lines are about to cross, which is a typical sign of waning upward momentum. However, looking at the daily chart, the MACD remains firmly above the zero line, indicating that the overall bearish trend hasn't genuinely established. Additionally, the RSI has fallen from previous high levels to around 57, fluctuating back and forth. Market sentiment has cooled significantly—from enthusiasm to neutrality or even slight weakness.

Currently, it’s that kind of standoff where "upwards momentum is lacking, and downward moves are unappealing"—both bulls and bears are cautiously testing each other's bottom lines. If you’re considering trading, my advice is not to chase after rallies; instead, wait patiently until the market structure becomes clearer before taking action.

**BTC Strategy**:
Short between 93,000-92,100, with a stop-loss above 94,300, targeting 89,500.
Long between 88,800-89,800, with a stop-loss below 88,100, targeting 91,500.

**ETH Strategy**:
Short between 3,285-3,245, with a stop-loss above 3,345, targeting 3,120.
Long between 3,055-3,105, with a stop-loss below 3,005, targeting 3,210.

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