A lot of people are criticizing $FIL for one reason—it’s dropped almost 200x from its peak.
But does that logic really hold up?
When FIL took off back in the day, it benefited from both a concept boom and bull market frenzy—a double buff. Of course the bubble was huge. The current crash is essentially the result of the bubble bursting, plus the short-term difficulty in landing storage applications, leading to a knee-jerk correction. It’s normal.
But there’s one thing you can’t ignore: in the last cycle, FIL has firmly established itself as the “leader in decentralized storage.”
Looking ahead, the storage track will definitely be a necessity. Why?
Because of AI.
China and the US are both going all-in on AI. There are two core factors behind this: energy and computing power. China lacks chips, so computing power can’t keep up, making AI progress slower; the US has enough computing power, but can’t support the energy demand—if this isn’t solved, they’ll eventually be overtaken. That’s why you see Trump making AI a national strategy, and Musk putting solar panels on Starlink to prepare for space-based electricity—they’re all aiming at this.
But the bottleneck of computing power and energy is only temporary. Once it’s broken through, both China and the US will face the same new problem: not enough storage.
AI is built on large models. The more complete the model, the more diverse and vast the data fed into it, the stronger the AI becomes. Jack Ma went all in on Alibaba Cloud for exactly this reason—when AI reaches the endgame, storage will inevitably be in short supply.
Cryptocurrency and AI both fundamentally rely on computing power. They don’t conflict; in fact, there’s even an AI track on-chain, with $TAO as the representative. Right now, TAO, just like real-world AI, is still in the conceptual stage and hasn’t truly landed. But as soon as Musk and co. achieve a breakthrough in AI, and the AI era truly arrives, on-chain will leap from web3 to web4.
Web4 will definitely be the age of AI. So no matter how things go, storage is unavoidable, and FIL is the essential need.
So why is it FIL and not $AR?
Simple: FIL is cloud storage. The concept is bigger, the market is broader, the capacity is deeper—just like Alibaba Cloud, it’s a trillion-dollar market.
But that doesn’t mean AR isn’t important. On the contrary, AR is just as important as FIL. AR is actual storage, with smaller capacity—like a library, it can’t fit a trillion-dollar market, but it’s indispensable.
As long as AI is the future, both FIL and AR are necessities—they’ll both take off.
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LiquidationTherapist
· 3m ago
A 200x decline is indeed frightening, but this is the fate of the cycle. The key is whether FIL has real applications... It's still unclear right now.
Storage truly will become a bottleneck in the AI era, I believe in that logic. But from concept to implementation, it will take a few more years to see results.
FIL's leading position is indeed stable; it all depends on who can survive until that day.
Wow, AR is also taking off? I need to look at both of their roadmaps again.
Honestly, I'm still a bit scared, after all, how are the "urgent needs" from last time doing now?
View OriginalReply0
OvertimeSquid
· 12-10 01:16
I agree with this logic, FIL is a good project that got killed by the bubble.
Damn, the explosion of AI storage really is an unavoidable hurdle.
Both FIL and AR should rise, this take is spot on.
Even Jack Ma is getting into cloud storage, why can't FIL succeed?
Wait, will Web4 really happen? Feels like it’s still early.
Actually, the people buying the dip on FIL now are the smart ones.
A bubble bursting is the best opportunity to build a position, right?
Don’t just complain about the drop, you have to look at the use cases, everyone.
View OriginalReply0
MEVvictim
· 12-10 01:03
Anyone still trying to bottom fish FIL now really just has a gambler’s mentality. Let’s wait until AI actually goes mainstream.
No matter how nicely you put it, you can’t change the fact that it’s a dead coin right now.
FIL’s leading position? It was already shattered by IPFS.
I’ve heard the “AI + storage” narrative way too many times, but where’s the real adoption? It’s all just talk on paper.
Before Web4 arrives, we need to survive the Web3 bear market first.
AR is the real storage solution—FIL is already outdated.
This article is pretty hype-y, but if you think about it carefully, it’s all just assumptions stacked on top of assumptions.
After breakthroughs in computing power and energy, we’ll suddenly need storage? That’s a huge logical leap.
Ignoring fundamentals and just focusing on the AI narrative—this is the 2021 playbook, isn’t it?
View OriginalReply0
StealthMoon
· 12-10 01:02
It's normal for bubbles to burst, but saying FIL has no future is just nonsense. In the AI era, storage is a real necessity—this logic is solid.
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A 200x drop is definitely scary, but it's not something unique to FIL. The issue is that most people still criticizing now haven't really thought about how important storage is in AI.
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What’s interesting is that many people would rather speculate on concept coins than wait for something like FIL that has real-world applications. It's a classic chase-the-pump, cut-the-loss mentality.
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Well said. FIL and AR aren't actually substitutes—they're complementary. But the market always wants to pick a single winner, which is so naive.
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Why did Jack Ma invest so much in Alibaba Cloud back then? Because he saw the future of data explosion. It's the same logic on-chain, just with a longer cycle.
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The problem isn't how much FIL has dropped, it's whether you believe AI really is the future. If you do, then don't get hung up on the price.
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Web4, AI, storage... It all sounds grand, but how many projects will actually survive to see that day? At least FIL has something real running.
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Didn't expect anyone to see the connection between AI and storage so clearly—most analyses are just empty slogans.
View OriginalReply0
TokenUnlocker
· 12-10 00:58
A 200x drop is indeed scary, but a burst bubble doesn’t mean the project is dead. FIL’s leading position is still there, and storage will definitely take off in the AI era.
Exactly, after the AI breakthrough, the real test is the storage bottleneck, and FIL happens to be right at this critical juncture.
Forget it, let’s wait until AI is truly implemented. It’s a bit early to discuss this now.
FIL and AR are complementary, there’s no need to pick just one. In the AI era, both will have their place.
I feel like the author’s logic is a bit far-fetched, but the AI × storage direction does make sense.
The bubble has burst and things are still this bad, which shows the applications really haven’t kept up—it’s not something that can take off just because of hype.
A lot of people are criticizing $FIL for one reason—it’s dropped almost 200x from its peak.
But does that logic really hold up?
When FIL took off back in the day, it benefited from both a concept boom and bull market frenzy—a double buff. Of course the bubble was huge. The current crash is essentially the result of the bubble bursting, plus the short-term difficulty in landing storage applications, leading to a knee-jerk correction. It’s normal.
But there’s one thing you can’t ignore: in the last cycle, FIL has firmly established itself as the “leader in decentralized storage.”
Looking ahead, the storage track will definitely be a necessity. Why?
Because of AI.
China and the US are both going all-in on AI. There are two core factors behind this: energy and computing power. China lacks chips, so computing power can’t keep up, making AI progress slower; the US has enough computing power, but can’t support the energy demand—if this isn’t solved, they’ll eventually be overtaken. That’s why you see Trump making AI a national strategy, and Musk putting solar panels on Starlink to prepare for space-based electricity—they’re all aiming at this.
But the bottleneck of computing power and energy is only temporary. Once it’s broken through, both China and the US will face the same new problem: not enough storage.
AI is built on large models. The more complete the model, the more diverse and vast the data fed into it, the stronger the AI becomes. Jack Ma went all in on Alibaba Cloud for exactly this reason—when AI reaches the endgame, storage will inevitably be in short supply.
Cryptocurrency and AI both fundamentally rely on computing power. They don’t conflict; in fact, there’s even an AI track on-chain, with $TAO as the representative. Right now, TAO, just like real-world AI, is still in the conceptual stage and hasn’t truly landed. But as soon as Musk and co. achieve a breakthrough in AI, and the AI era truly arrives, on-chain will leap from web3 to web4.
Web4 will definitely be the age of AI. So no matter how things go, storage is unavoidable, and FIL is the essential need.
So why is it FIL and not $AR?
Simple: FIL is cloud storage. The concept is bigger, the market is broader, the capacity is deeper—just like Alibaba Cloud, it’s a trillion-dollar market.
But that doesn’t mean AR isn’t important. On the contrary, AR is just as important as FIL. AR is actual storage, with smaller capacity—like a library, it can’t fit a trillion-dollar market, but it’s indispensable.
As long as AI is the future, both FIL and AR are necessities—they’ll both take off.