In the years I've been trading contracts, the pitfalls I've encountered could circle the earth three times.
At my lowest point, my computer screen had four or five windows open at once, with all sorts of indicators cluttering it up. MACD bearish divergence, RSI overbought and oversold, Bollinger Bands expanding and contracting... I stared at the charts until my eyes were sore, panicking and placing orders at every little fluctuation. I'd rush to close a position after making just a couple of points, but when losing, I'd stubbornly hold on, only to watch my account balance plummet and my health deteriorate.
The turning point came last year. A few friends from the industry got together for dinner, and we all complained about trading struggles. Eventually, we formed a small group to focus on a "lazy strategy" approach—and we really made something of it. Now, this strategy has a win rate of over 95%, and the best part is, it only takes about ten minutes a day.
To put it bluntly, most people lose money because they're too diligent and too clever. Always trying to buy the dip and sell the top, they can't resist acting whenever the candlestick moves, letting their emotions lead them around by the nose. In a choppy market, this kind of trading is just giving money away.
Now, we do the opposite: we don't try to predict ups and downs, don't chase hot trends, and ignore all those fancy indicators. How exactly do we do it?
**We only use two moving averages: EMA21 and EMA55.**
EMA21 captures the short-term trend, EMA55 shows the mid-term direction. When the 21 crosses above the 55, we go long; when it crosses below, we go short. That's it. Delete all the other indicators—out of sight, out of mind.
**We only watch the 4-hour timeframe.**
Forget about those small timeframes like 15 minutes or 1 hour! The 4-hour candlestick is much better at reflecting the real trend. When EMA21 crosses above EMA55 and the candle closes bullish, open a long; when they death cross and the candle closes bearish, open a short. If the market is moving sideways? Just sit on your hands—missing an opportunity is better than trading recklessly.
**Stop-loss is strictly set at 5%.**
Set your stop-loss at the high or low of the previous 4-hour candle, and never let your loss exceed 5% of your principal. I used to stubbornly hold losing trades, and after losing 20% or 30%, my mindset would collapse. Now, as soon as a stop-loss is triggered, I cut the position immediately, and my trading has become much more stable.
**Position management is key.**
Start with just 5% of your capital to test the waters. If you make 5%, add another 5% to your position, and keep increasing until the moving averages signal a reversal. This way, you lock in profits on the base position, and when the trend comes, you can capitalize on it fully.
Don't expect to win every time, and don't take a dozen trades a day. Missing out on a trade is no big deal; getting the direction wrong is what hurts. Catching one or two good signals a day is more than enough—overtrading is just asking for trouble.
This method sounds simple, but the real challenge is sticking to the rules. Many people learn it but can't resist trading impulsively, and end up back where they started. If you're tired of staring at the screen all day and constantly losing money, maybe it's time to calm down and give this approach a try.
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EthSandwichHero
· 21h ago
Sounds like a different mindset. I've heard the 95% win rate talk many times, and in the end, it all comes down to execution.
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TeaTimeTrader
· 12-11 12:15
That's right, but you need to learn to relax and not wear yourself out.
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NoStopLossNut
· 12-09 21:44
That's so true. I used to be the kind of person who had five or six windows open on my screen, and in the end, I ended up with nearsightedness and lost money.
I think the hardest part about this approach isn't learning the method, it's actually being able to resist the urge to mess around.
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 12-09 21:43
95% win rate? I’d like to see how this data is calculated—was it backtesting or live trading?
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ForkItAll
· 12-09 21:42
95% win rate? Bro, your story sounds way too smooth. How come there wasn't a single drawdown?
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StakeHouseDirector
· 12-09 21:41
Bro, that 95% win rate sounds a bit far-fetched. Have you tested it with real trading?
In the years I've been trading contracts, the pitfalls I've encountered could circle the earth three times.
At my lowest point, my computer screen had four or five windows open at once, with all sorts of indicators cluttering it up. MACD bearish divergence, RSI overbought and oversold, Bollinger Bands expanding and contracting... I stared at the charts until my eyes were sore, panicking and placing orders at every little fluctuation. I'd rush to close a position after making just a couple of points, but when losing, I'd stubbornly hold on, only to watch my account balance plummet and my health deteriorate.
The turning point came last year. A few friends from the industry got together for dinner, and we all complained about trading struggles. Eventually, we formed a small group to focus on a "lazy strategy" approach—and we really made something of it. Now, this strategy has a win rate of over 95%, and the best part is, it only takes about ten minutes a day.
To put it bluntly, most people lose money because they're too diligent and too clever. Always trying to buy the dip and sell the top, they can't resist acting whenever the candlestick moves, letting their emotions lead them around by the nose. In a choppy market, this kind of trading is just giving money away.
Now, we do the opposite: we don't try to predict ups and downs, don't chase hot trends, and ignore all those fancy indicators. How exactly do we do it?
**We only use two moving averages: EMA21 and EMA55.**
EMA21 captures the short-term trend, EMA55 shows the mid-term direction. When the 21 crosses above the 55, we go long; when it crosses below, we go short. That's it. Delete all the other indicators—out of sight, out of mind.
**We only watch the 4-hour timeframe.**
Forget about those small timeframes like 15 minutes or 1 hour! The 4-hour candlestick is much better at reflecting the real trend. When EMA21 crosses above EMA55 and the candle closes bullish, open a long; when they death cross and the candle closes bearish, open a short. If the market is moving sideways? Just sit on your hands—missing an opportunity is better than trading recklessly.
**Stop-loss is strictly set at 5%.**
Set your stop-loss at the high or low of the previous 4-hour candle, and never let your loss exceed 5% of your principal. I used to stubbornly hold losing trades, and after losing 20% or 30%, my mindset would collapse. Now, as soon as a stop-loss is triggered, I cut the position immediately, and my trading has become much more stable.
**Position management is key.**
Start with just 5% of your capital to test the waters. If you make 5%, add another 5% to your position, and keep increasing until the moving averages signal a reversal. This way, you lock in profits on the base position, and when the trend comes, you can capitalize on it fully.
Don't expect to win every time, and don't take a dozen trades a day. Missing out on a trade is no big deal; getting the direction wrong is what hurts. Catching one or two good signals a day is more than enough—overtrading is just asking for trouble.
This method sounds simple, but the real challenge is sticking to the rules. Many people learn it but can't resist trading impulsively, and end up back where they started. If you're tired of staring at the screen all day and constantly losing money, maybe it's time to calm down and give this approach a try.