🚨 Don’t just focus on the rate cut! The real action is at the 3:30 AM press conference

This rate cut? Frankly, it’s the Fed being cornered by economic data—a reluctant move. Powell’s face was basically saying one thing the entire time: Not! Willing! The economy is cooling, but the inflation beast isn’t fully caged yet. We’re in this awkward “one step down, half a step wait-and-see” situation.

⏰ Burn these two times into your mind:
• Thursday, 3:00 AM – Rate decision announced (a 25 basis point cut is pretty much locked in)
• Thursday, 3:30 AM – Powell’s press conference (this is where the real direction comes from)

Why am I convinced Powell will sound hawkish? Just look at three sets of data:

**Inflation? Still a ways to go**
Core PCE is stuck at 2.8%, core CPI is bouncing between 3.1%-3.3%, still a long way from the Fed’s beloved 2% target. Ease up now? Wouldn’t that make the past two years of tightening pointless?

**Not much room left for rates**
After this 25 basis point cut, the federal funds rate will be around 3.75%-4.0%. Any lower and we’re out of the “restrictive rate” safety zone. Powell will never leave the door open for a resurgence of inflation—that’s his career red line.

**The economy isn’t in rescue mode yet**
GDP growth is holding at 1.2%-1.6%, the jobs market is a bit soft but hasn’t collapsed. The Fed has every reason to stay “wait-and-see”—the rate cut is more about calming the market than a real signal of easing.

💥 My take:
The moment the rate cut is announced, the “good news is all priced in.” The crypto market will probably spike first, then quickly reverse. Don’t be fooled by short-term liquidity illusions—Powell’s hawkish remarks are the real guide for the next move.

📌 Pick your strategy based on your style:

**Aggressive players**: Short 2-5x at the rebound highs, set stop-losses—don’t tough it out. If a key resistance breaks, admit defeat immediately.

**Conservative players**: Keep enough cash, cut positions to below 30%, absolutely don’t chase highs. Wait for a pullback to key support before adding—getting in now is just holding the bag for others.

**Long-term players**: Filter out short-term volatility as noise, focus on high-growth sectors. The real big opportunity is in the second half of next year—now’s the time to build up strength.

✨ Only the long game catches big fish
The real “liquidity party” won’t start until the second half of 2026: new government takes office → Fed policy shifts → aggressive easing cycle begins. Combined with global capital reallocation, crypto will enter a 3-5 year super cycle.

These pullbacks now? They’re just laying the groundwork for next year’s surge. Don’t be fooled by the “rate cut” sugar-coated bomb—Powell’s early morning press conference is the real codebook for the market in the coming months!