Market's betting big on Wednesday. CME Group's latest figures paint a pretty clear picture—there's an 88% chance the Fed pulls the trigger on a rate cut at this week's FOMC gathering. That's not just high confidence, that's near-certainty territory. If the numbers hold, we're looking at a potential shift in monetary policy that could ripple through everything from equities to crypto. Worth keeping tabs on how Powell frames this one, especially with inflation data still playing tug-of-war.
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MevSandwich
· 6h ago
Powell needs to think carefully about how to address that 88% figure, or else the crypto market will be in turmoil again.
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SmartContractPlumber
· 6h ago
88% sounds just like the "high-risk vulnerability discovery rate" in an audit report—it sounds certain, but there are always variables in actual execution. What Powell says is more critical than probabilities; a single sentence from him can reverse expectations, and in this regard, it's as hard to guard against as a reentrancy vulnerability.
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GasFeeLover
· 6h ago
88%? I'm betting on these odds. If there's really a rate cut on Wednesday, crypto will take off.
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SchrodingersFOMO
· 6h ago
An 88% probability is honestly a bit scary; it feels like Wednesday is going to be a day of destiny.
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MainnetDelayedAgain
· 6h ago
88%? According to the database, this probability has appeared in previous years as well. How did it turn out in the end...
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LiquidityLarry
· 6h ago
Is this 88% probability real, or is CME just creating expectations for us?
Market's betting big on Wednesday. CME Group's latest figures paint a pretty clear picture—there's an 88% chance the Fed pulls the trigger on a rate cut at this week's FOMC gathering. That's not just high confidence, that's near-certainty territory. If the numbers hold, we're looking at a potential shift in monetary policy that could ripple through everything from equities to crypto. Worth keeping tabs on how Powell frames this one, especially with inflation data still playing tug-of-war.