#美联储重启降息步伐 This week, the global financial world is going to be lively.

Five major economies are releasing their monetary policy decisions in quick succession—this density is arguably the most intense wave at the start of 2025. Are your positions ready to face the test?

All eyes are, of course, on the Federal Reserve. At 3 a.m. on Thursday, the interest rate decision will be announced on time, along with the release of economic forecast data. Half an hour later, Powell will hold a press conference—as usual, even an offhand remark from him can send the markets shaking.

But if you only focus on the Fed? You’ll miss the bigger picture.

Will Canada follow with a rate cut? What signals will Switzerland send, and where will safe-haven funds flow? The Reserve Bank of Australia’s statements have always been a bellwether for commodities, and Bank of England Governor Bailey often hides clues to the pound’s trend in his speeches.

The market is now pricing in nearly a 90% chance of a Fed rate cut. But seasoned players know the real waves aren’t caused by “will they cut or not,” but by how the dot plot looks and what tone Powell strikes.

The biggest fear is “good news turns into bad news”—the bloodbath that follows when expectations are realized and everyone rushes for the exit.

In the face of such macro-level tsunamis, surviving is always more important than making money.

Spend less time staring at candlestick charts and more time checking the calendar these days. Even $BTC, $ETH, $BNB and other crypto assets have to pay attention when central banks speak in unison. After all, the liquidity valve is in their hands—no one can stay unaffected.

To put it simply, it’s no longer about who’s the boldest, but who can truly understand the rules of the game.