The latest market news is here—according to interest rate futures data, traders are now pricing in an 86.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points this month, with only a 13.8% chance of keeping rates unchanged.
A reminder of key timing: At 3:00 AM Beijing time on December 11, the Fed will announce its latest rate decision, with market expectations for a cut from the current 4.00% to 3.75%. Half an hour later, at 3:30 AM, Powell will hold the routine monetary policy press conference.
This decision will have a significant impact on risk asset markets, so it's recommended to pay attention to any changes in the post-meeting statement.
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ZenChainWalker
· 17h ago
86.2% probability... Sounds pretty high, but I'm still a bit nervous. Staying up until 3 a.m. to gamble on this feels a bit not worth it.
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RugDocScientist
· 17h ago
86.2%? I'm just worried that the higher the probability, the more likely we'll get slapped in the face. If Powell says one thing, it could all go down the drain.
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MEVictim
· 18h ago
There is already an 86.2% chance locked in, just waiting for Powell not to pull any surprises. I’ll be staying up at 3 a.m. to watch.
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PhantomHunter
· 18h ago
An 86.2% probability... To put it bluntly, a rate cut is basically locked in. Things will start happening at 3 a.m.
The latest market news is here—according to interest rate futures data, traders are now pricing in an 86.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points this month, with only a 13.8% chance of keeping rates unchanged.
A reminder of key timing: At 3:00 AM Beijing time on December 11, the Fed will announce its latest rate decision, with market expectations for a cut from the current 4.00% to 3.75%. Half an hour later, at 3:30 AM, Powell will hold the routine monetary policy press conference.
This decision will have a significant impact on risk asset markets, so it's recommended to pay attention to any changes in the post-meeting statement.