The debate over interest rates in Washington has escalated again in the past couple of days.
On one side, Trump is publicly questioning the Fed Chair’s decision-making ability, claiming the current high interest rate policy is a “catastrophic mistake.” On the other, Powell’s response is equally tough—monetary policy follows economic laws and will not change direction for any individual’s will. The current interest rate level is an inevitable result driven by data.
What’s at the core of this controversy? Simply put, it’s a battle between two systemic risks fighting for priority.
The White House’s anxiety is very real: interest payments on US government debt are already on the verge of danger. The federal government’s annual debt interest payments are staggering, and the high-rate environment keeps pushing up the cost of rolling over debt. If rates are cut, financing pressure could ease immediately—which would be a huge relief for the fiscal deficit. That’s why there’s such a strong call for rate cuts.
But the Fed is watching another indicator: inflation data. The price increases of the past few years have already seriously eroded people’s purchasing power. If monetary policy is loosened too hastily now, increased market liquidity could directly boost inflation expectations. Keeping prices stable has always been the central bank’s top job—this is a line that cannot be crossed.
This is where the problem lies: the two goals are essentially at odds. The fiscal side hopes to ease the debt burden by cutting rates, while the central bank must maintain tight policy to curb inflation. It’s not a matter of right or wrong—it’s two crises erupting at the same time, each demanding a completely opposite solution.
It’s hard to say how to resolve this predicament. Cut rates, and inflation may spiral out of control; don’t cut, and debt pressure keeps building. It’s like driving a car with overheated brakes toward a sharp curve ahead—slam the brakes and risk stalling, let go and risk flying off the road.
In a broader context, this is no longer just a simple policy disagreement. The structural issues of US debt size and inflation pressure are both approaching critical points. Each public showdown essentially reflects the deep dilemma at the heart of the US economy: should fiscal stability take priority, or should price stability come first?
There is no standard answer to this question right now. The debate is likely to continue for a long time.
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ReverseTrendSister
· 12-03 19:10
If interest rates are cut, inflation gets out of control; if not, debt explodes... These two systemic risks are really strangling each other. The U.S. is truly in a deadlock right now.
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PhantomHunter
· 12-03 19:07
Everyone is arguing about whether interest rates will be cut or not, but the crypto world has actually become even more directionless... How ironic.
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WalletDetective
· 12-03 19:03
To be honest, these two people have been arguing for ages, but the crypto market will still fall if it’s meant to fall. It’s not really about whether Trump supports digital assets or not—the entire US economy is walking a tightrope.
Good news about rate cuts is favorable for on-chain liquidity, but exploding debt also means a risk of dollar depreciation. If inflation isn’t controlled, actual purchasing power will only decrease. So instead of focusing on policy direction, it’s better to pay attention to on-chain data and spot flows. In this kind of macro game, holding coins is much more reliable than betting on policy trends.
The Fed is dead set on not loosening up, and no matter how much pressure Washington applies, it won’t matter. Historically, central bank independence has prevailed more often. So now I’m just waiting to see if I can hold out until the real rate-cutting cycle—that’s when it’ll be the right time to increase my positions.
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ChainPoet
· 12-03 18:58
Interest rates can't be cut, but if they aren't, debt will explode. Trump really has a bad hand to play here.
#特朗普数字资产政策新方向 $BTC $ETH $BNB
The debate over interest rates in Washington has escalated again in the past couple of days.
On one side, Trump is publicly questioning the Fed Chair’s decision-making ability, claiming the current high interest rate policy is a “catastrophic mistake.” On the other, Powell’s response is equally tough—monetary policy follows economic laws and will not change direction for any individual’s will. The current interest rate level is an inevitable result driven by data.
What’s at the core of this controversy? Simply put, it’s a battle between two systemic risks fighting for priority.
The White House’s anxiety is very real: interest payments on US government debt are already on the verge of danger. The federal government’s annual debt interest payments are staggering, and the high-rate environment keeps pushing up the cost of rolling over debt. If rates are cut, financing pressure could ease immediately—which would be a huge relief for the fiscal deficit. That’s why there’s such a strong call for rate cuts.
But the Fed is watching another indicator: inflation data. The price increases of the past few years have already seriously eroded people’s purchasing power. If monetary policy is loosened too hastily now, increased market liquidity could directly boost inflation expectations. Keeping prices stable has always been the central bank’s top job—this is a line that cannot be crossed.
This is where the problem lies: the two goals are essentially at odds. The fiscal side hopes to ease the debt burden by cutting rates, while the central bank must maintain tight policy to curb inflation. It’s not a matter of right or wrong—it’s two crises erupting at the same time, each demanding a completely opposite solution.
It’s hard to say how to resolve this predicament. Cut rates, and inflation may spiral out of control; don’t cut, and debt pressure keeps building. It’s like driving a car with overheated brakes toward a sharp curve ahead—slam the brakes and risk stalling, let go and risk flying off the road.
In a broader context, this is no longer just a simple policy disagreement. The structural issues of US debt size and inflation pressure are both approaching critical points. Each public showdown essentially reflects the deep dilemma at the heart of the US economy: should fiscal stability take priority, or should price stability come first?
There is no standard answer to this question right now. The debate is likely to continue for a long time.