If you had held onto Bitcoin ten years ago and never let go, you’d already be financially free by now. The numbers don’t lie—BTC was $430 per coin in 2015, and by early December this year, it had soared to $93,000. That’s a 216-fold increase, with an annualized return of 71.1%. This rate of growth is phenomenal, even in the context of financial history.

Why did it rise so dramatically? Early on, the market cap was small, but more importantly, global awareness exploded, the halving mechanism kept exerting its effect, and in the past two years, institutional capital has been pouring in like crazy. Multiple factors combined to create this epic bull run.

But what about the next ten years? I’ve outlined two possible scenarios:

**Scenario 1: Realistic Version (30% Annualized Growth)**

Assuming BTC’s growth rate returns to a rational 30% per year, by 2035, the price per coin could reach $1,275,000. This prediction aligns more with the S-curve adoption model—any asset’s growth rate inevitably slows as it gets bigger. While institutional money is still coming in, it can’t maintain the explosive growth of the early days forever.

**Scenario 2: Math Game Version (Maintain 71.1%)**

If you simply compound at the past decade’s rate, BTC would reach $50 million per coin by 2035. Sounds exciting, right? But it’s totally unrealistic in practice. That would mean the total market cap would surpass the combined value of all global stock markets, requiring an unprecedented, system-wide influx of capital. Mathematically possible, logically impossible.

**My Take:**

The most reasonable range for the next decade is 20%-35% annualized growth, which would put the 2035 price between $573,000 and $1.86 million per coin. This range takes into account ETF absorption capacity, global capital flow structure, the halving cycle effect, and other key variables. It’s not aggressive, but there’s still plenty of upside potential.

So the conclusion is simple—hold on, and don’t exit too soon.