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CryptoTherapist

2025-12-01 21:22:03

Where do I think this round of adjustment will fall? I reckon that BTC will likely find support in the range of 63000 to 67000. Looking back at the last true Bear Market, the 15000 position combined with the Black Swan Event and the interest rate hike cycle was a devastating combination.

Through algorithmic modeling, this bottom should be around 65,000—after all, the market maturity and capital size are not comparable to those of previous years.

The situation with ETH is slightly different. The price range of 1700 to 2100 may be its support line, as Ethereum has clearly held up better this round. Looking at the market trends, it is indeed noticeable that it is more resilient than in the previous cycle.

BTC6.25%

ETH7.67%

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Frontrunner

· 21h ago

65,000 at this point... to be honest, it feels a bit optimistic, black swans don't see clearly.

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ParallelChainMaxi

· 23h ago

If 65k can't hold, I'll directly enter a position, anyway, it's not like I'm missing out on this little interest.

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SignatureVerifier

· 23h ago

ngl the model predictions here feel... insufficient validation on your part tbh. where's the actual audit trail on those algo parameters? 65k sounds neat on a spreadsheet but statistically improbable given current on-chain metrics you're conveniently glossing over. eth holding better is fine i guess but trust but verify—what's the actual liquidation cascade data saying rn

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ImpermanentLossEnjoyer

· 23h ago

Around 65,000? I think this guy is a bit too optimistic; who says a black swan won't come again?

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MeltdownSurvivalist

· 23h ago

63k to 67k? Oh dear, calculating the support level again, I've heard this trap too many times haha The algorithm predicts 65k... to be honest, models are really just hindsight wisdom, using them to predict the bottom now, if it falls below, adjustments will have to be made again. However, this wave of ETH is indeed different, it can really hold up, I agree with this point.

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PumpStrategist

· 23h ago

65,000 is an interesting point; the chip distribution indeed shows a high accumulation. --- The bottom derived from algorithms? Ha, typical sucker thinking; true support is never determined by models. --- Is ETH stronger than the last round? Just look at the volume to know; don’t be fooled by the trend. --- The defense line at 1700-2100 won't hold; I bet 50 cents it will break this week. --- The pattern has formed, but those getting on board now are all dumb buyers; no mistake about it. --- Algorithms are just for fun; the key is to look at on-chain data and the movements of Large Investors; don’t trust too much. --- Blowing up such detailed points shows there’s no confidence in their heart.

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DAOplomacy

· 23h ago

ngl the whole "algorithmic model says 65k" thing feels like we're just pattern-matching on previous cycles again... market maturity argument checks out theoretically but path dependency is messy af. eth holding better tho, arguably reflects improved tokenomics or whatever. honestly sub-optimal to pretend we know where bottoms are lmao

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