#十月加密市场预测 This October, the crypto market is about to face a "regulatory storm"! The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is finally no longer delaying, and will make a final ruling on at least 16 spot crypto ETFs, covering major Tokens such as SOL, XRP, LTC, DOGE, ADA. Even more exciting, the approval process has been expedited to be completed in 75 days, and a major examination that will determine the fate of the alts is about to be revealed!

Notably, the likelihood of approval for Litecoin (LTC) and Solana (SOL) has skyrocketed to nearly 100% — will this be the spark for the explosion of the altcoin market?
[Critical Moment: October defines the fate, 16 ETFs await the "final verdict"]
Unlike the SEC's usual "procrastination tactic", this time the regulatory body has established a clear timeline. In October, 16 Point ETFs, including SOL, XRP, LTC, DOGE, ADA, and HBAR, will receive a final response of "approval" or "rejection".
Even more importantly, the approval process reform: the SEC recently removed several old delay notices and adopted a new "general listing standard," reducing the review period to less than 75 days. This means that the crypto market has finally freed itself from the "indefinite waiting" situation and now has a clear regulatory timeline.
[Complete timeline: three key dates that determine the direction of the market]
The agenda for the entire month of October is interconnected, and the following dates will become the focus of market attention:
• October 2: The Canary's LTC ETF was the first to be decided, "firing the first shot" in this wave of approvals.
•October 10: The decision on Grayscale's ETF application for the conversion of SOL and LTC will be announced on the same day, generating double the attention that explodes the crypto market.
•October 24: WisdomTree's XRP ETF makes its debut, setting the tone for the crypto market at the end of the month.
In addition, Cardano (ADA) has not yet announced a specific date, but it will also have its final decision at the end of October. It is worth noting that, although giants like BlackRock and Fidelity are not involved in this approval, any ETF that is approved will pave the way for the subsequent entry of institutions, and its symbolic significance goes far beyond the individual product itself.
[Who will break first? LTC and SOL have surprising odds, the market is already celebrating in advance]
According to data analysis from various sources, LTC and SOL have become the biggest favorites in this round of approval:
LTC: a veteran, with great chances of victory
As a "perennial tree" in the encryption world, Litecoin has gained relative recognition from regulators due to its long history and non-security nature. Most notably, founder Charlie Lee publicly stated: "The LTC ETF Point is about to be launched!" His confidence comes from the fact that the new SEC rules clearly list LTC as one of the ten eligible assets.
The data from the market prediction platform Polymarket shows that the probability of approval for the LTC ETF this year has soared to 93%, almost guaranteeing victory.
Solana (SOL): The darling of institutions, it just needs the wind in its favor.
The comment from Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas is even more direct: "The success rate of the SOL ETF is close to 100%! Under the new rules, the previous obstacles no longer exist, leaving only the final enhancement of the process."
In other words, Solana's qualifications already fully meet the requirements, SEC approval is just a matter of time. Institutional investors are already ready, just waiting for the green light from regulation.
Cardano (ADA): With steady steps, waiting for good news
Although the decision time for ADA is a bit later, its 93% approval probability should not be underestimated either. If LTC and SOL are approved first, the approval of ADA almost becomes a given.
【Million-dollar question: Can ETF approval really boost coin prices? Analysts in intense confrontation】
For investors, the most central question is: can the approval of these ETFs be converted into real gains? Currently, the group of analysts is divided into two factions:
Optimists: the spring of alts is coming
Analysts from Bit point out that, once the ETF is approved, traditional financial institutions will have access to investment channels in alts in a compatible way, and the massive influx of funds will trigger an "altcoin resonance effect." The performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs after approval already has precedents, and it is likely that the main alts will replicate this successful model.
Caution: The new era requires a new logic
However, James Seyffart from Bloomberg presented a different view: "Institutional investors tend to prefer buying 'packaged' ETFs that include multiple assets, rather than products of a single coin. Furthermore, the model in which institutions hold Token indirectly through compliant products may alter the traditional price discovery mechanism."
It is important to remember that even if the ETF is approved, the market may experience a short-term correction of "good news already priced in." The crypto market is highly volatile, and investors should avoid blindly following the highs, waiting for the trend to become clear before making new investments.