In the cryptocurrency asset industry, “regulatory uncertainty” has always been a core issue troubling all parties. Do assets belong to securities? Which regulatory authority is responsible? How do exchanges register? These questions have long remained unresolved. Now, with the United States Senate Agricultural Committee releasing a draft on the structure of the digital asset market, the regulatory landscape may undergo fundamental changes. This article will analyze this potential disruption from five dimensions.
Why is this said to be a disruption of the regulatory landscape?
- For a long time, the roles of the SEC and CFTC in the regulation of digital assets have been unclear. Investors and institutions often hesitate due to regulatory ambiguity. The draft clarifies that “digital commodities belong to the CFTC, and digital securities belong to the SEC,” meaning that regulatory boundaries have achieved a significant breakthrough at the legislative level for the first time.
- Unlike the past “regulatory enforcement” model, the draft emphasizes the priority of “rule-making,” aiming to shift from post-fine penalties to pre-registration, disclosure, and the establishment of a regulatory framework.
- Proposing compliance mechanisms such as registration, customer fund segregation, etc., for exchanges, brokers, custodians, and clearing institutions means that the encryption market is moving towards a regulatory model more consistent with traditional finance.
Detailed Explanation of Key Provisions in the Draft
The following are important terms that are often overlooked:
- Definition of digital goods: The draft defines “replaceable assets that can be transferred peer-to-peer on a distributed ledger” as digital goods, but excludes categories such as securities, derivatives, stablecoins, and deposits.
- Registration and Disclosure Obligations: Exchanges, brokers, custodians, etc. need to register with the CFTC; they must achieve client fund segregation, prevent conflicts of interest, and disclose counterparty relationships, among other requirements.
- Regulatory Agency Cooperation: The draft requires the CFTC and SEC to jointly formulate rules on cross-cutting issues to avoid overlapping regulation or regulatory gaps.
- Innovative protection and regulatory gaps: The clauses in the draft regarding DeFi, protocol layer, and developer layer still have a large number of “to be negotiated” annotations, which means that although there is room for innovation before true legalization, it is still influenced by regulatory expectations.
Market response and price dynamics
Recent data shows that the price of Bitcoin once touched over 100,000 USD, but there is also volatility. The expectation of clearer regulation has driven market sentiment to turn positive, but the draft has not yet taken effect and the specifics are still undecided, which has made some investors remain cautious. In the long run, if the regulatory framework is solidly established, it is expected to further attract institutional funds, thereby pushing the price. On the other hand, if the draft leads to strengthened regulation and a significant increase in compliance costs, it may also trigger a market adjustment. Therefore, the price reaction is still in the “expectation stage,” and the real trend needs to be observed based on the implementation situation.
The specific significance for projects, exchanges, and investors.
- Project parties: They need to assess in advance whether their tokens constitute “digital goods” or “digital securities,” and adjust the issuance structure, disclosure materials, and compliance preparations accordingly. Otherwise, once determined to be securities, they may face higher regulatory thresholds.
- Exchange/Custody Platform: If the draft comes into effect, resources must be invested in registration, compliance system construction, customer asset segregation, and improvement of the exchange governance mechanism. A well-done compliance can gain a trust advantage.
- Investors: The reduction of regulatory uncertainty means that potential risks are diminished, and long-term participants may benefit. However, before the final terms of the draft are released, it is still necessary to remain vigilant about the fluctuations caused by policy changes.
- Institutional funds: A clear regulatory framework will facilitate large-scale entry by institutions. However, it may also mean higher thresholds and greater compliance costs.
Risk Warning and Outlook
- The draft is currently a discussion document and still contains a large number of parentheses and undecided clauses. The actual implementation time may be in 2026 or even later.
- Although the direction is clear, if the details lead to “increased regulation + restrictions on innovation,” it may suppress certain projects or exchanges.
- The global encryption regulatory environment is also changing, and the interaction of policies in Europe, America, and Asia may influence the international perspective of the U.S. draft.
- For prices, the “expectation” before the implementation of regulations may bring volatility; if there are supporting rules and institutional funds enter quickly after implementation, it may become the next driving force.
Overall, this draft represents a new era in the regulation of digital assets in the United States. The shift from unclear regulatory boundaries and institutional hesitation to rule-making and exchange compliance has structural significance. It presents both opportunities and challenges for the entire ecosystem. It is advised that project parties, exchanges, and investors prepare in advance and closely monitor the direction of the draft.