The financial market has recently shown a strong expectation of interest rate cuts, with the current market predicting a 97.8% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This data reflects investors' general view on the Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for September 17, 2025.

Analysts generally believe that the Federal Reserve is likely to lower the target interest rate from the current range of 425-450 basis points to a range of 400-425 basis points. This expectation has become the dominant consensus in the market, and over time, this expectation seems to be strengthening.

Interestingly, there have even been more radical views in the market, with some analysts predicting a possible rate cut of 50 basis points. However, most experts believe that a rate cut of around 25 basis points is almost a certainty, while a cut of 50 basis points carries significant uncertainty.

This widespread expectation of interest rate cuts reflects the market's judgment on the economic outlook and predictions regarding the direction of Federal Reserve policy. However, we must remember that the economic environment is constantly changing, and actual policy decisions will still require waiting for the Federal Reserve's official announcement. In the meantime, investors and analysts will continue to closely monitor various economic indicators and the statements of Federal Reserve officials for more clues on policy direction.