Will the U.S. House of Representatives vote at 5 a.m. tomorrow to end the government shutdown? Why can't investors smile about it?

The U.S. government experienced a short-term rebound after passing a temporary funding bill on Monday, ending the shutdown. However, economic gaps and political risks expected to re-emerge in January have caused investors to adopt a wait-and-see approach. (Background: The U.S. government shutdown is imminent! Both parties in the Senate passed a “temporary spending bill,” causing Trump Coin WLFI to surge 30%) (Additional context: Goldman Sachs predicts the “U.S. government shutdown” will end within two weeks, making the Fed’s December rate cut “more justified”?) The U.S. Senate passed a temporary funding bill on Monday, initially sparking a “relief rally” on Wall Street, but within less than a day, U.S. stocks fluctuated amid declines in AI concept stocks, with the Nasdaq Composite plunging 2.48%. Currently, the Republican-controlled House is scheduled to vote on resuming federal agency funding on the afternoon of the 12th (expected to be early morning in Taiwan, around 5 AM). If approved smoothly, it will end the government shutdown that has lasted over 40 days since October 1. The costs of the shutdown are becoming apparent, with January 30 emerging as the next hurdle. The market’s short-term cheer has quickly cooled, partly because the temporary bill only extends funding until January 30, 2026. Market consensus expects similar political struggles at that time, leading to long-term investment hesitation. Additionally, the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the shutdown in Q4 has wiped out $18 billion of U.S. GDP, with long-term losses potentially reaching $7 billion. These output gaps cannot be fully recovered, and corporate and consumer spending are being suppressed. Moreover, Fintech Weekly pointed out that during the shutdown, regulatory staffing shortages have delayed multiple projects. Future layoffs could create oversight vacuum in regional banks and fintech industries, and in a financial system still in a tightening cycle, this structural gap could amplify potential risks. Overall, the U.S. government shutdown is likely to be temporarily halted, but intertwined economic gaps, political deadlines, and regulatory risks suggest continued volatility in the coming months. Investors should be cautious of repeated news fluctuations and liquidity contractions before chasing rebounds, adjusting positions prudently to avoid being caught off guard by the next shock. Related reports: U.S. government shutdown continues — Senate rejects funding bill for the 12th time, worsening healthcare reform and military salary crises; Fed’s warning: government shutdown complicates decision-making, year-end rate cuts may be canceled; U.S. government shutdown “cryptocurrency regulation chaos” — Litecoin ETF stalled, 90 applications all rejected. (Why are investors still unhappy even if the House votes at 5 AM tomorrow to end the shutdown?) This article was first published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain news media.