Could Bitcoin Surge to $125,000? Trump–Xi Trade Deal May Ignite the Next Bull Run!

After weeks of uncertainty, Bitcoin (BTC) is once again capturing the spotlight. Technical indicators are flashing a structural breakout, while macroeconomic factors — particularly the upcoming trade agreement between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi - could provide the perfect backdrop for a renewed bullish wave.

Bitcoin Breaks Out of the Downward Channel, Bulls Take Control After several weeks of consolidation, Bitcoin has broken out of its descending channel, signaling that buyers are regaining control.

The key support at $112,000 remains solid, while $106,000 serves as the invalidation level, where deep bids are concentrated. Resistance currently sits at $117,000, the level of the previous breakout, with the channel’s projected target standing at $125,000.

At the time of writing, BTC trades around $115,135, marking a 2.34% gain over the past 24 hours. The DMI (Directional Movement Index) shows strong buyer dominance:

🔹 +DI: 37.7

🔹 –DI: 9.8

🔹 ADX: 26.3, confirming the strength of the uptrend. Higher lows, increasing volume on green candles, and calm pullbacks indicate a healthy market structure with potential for continued growth.

Trump–Xi Deal Could Shift Global Market Sentiment All eyes are now on October 30, when Donald Trump and Xi are expected to meet for key trade negotiations.

Sources suggest both nations are nearing an agreement to ease tariffs, which would reduce tensions between the U.S. and China after months of trade friction. Such a move could boost global liquidity and risk appetite — two macro drivers that have historically supported Bitcoin’s price.

BTC has often rallied in the past when U.S.–China relations improved, as optimism spreads across both traditional and crypto markets. If Trump formally announces tariff reductions or a suspension, it could become a powerful macro catalyst for Bitcoin’s next upward move.

Investors might shift from defensive positions to risk accumulation, with Bitcoin leading the rally.

Key Levels: $117K as the Trigger, $125K as the Target The current market setup suggests that a daily close above $117,000 could trigger a fast move toward $121,000–$125,000 — the measured target of the breakout pattern. If BTC fails to hold $112,000, however, it may revisit lower support zones.

For now, though, the structure remains decisively bullish, supported by volume and solid fundamentals.

Technical and Macro Factors Align in Bitcoin’s Favor The market is showing a rare alignment between technical and macro forces.

While charts confirm buyer control, the upcoming U.S.–China trade agreement could provide the macroeconomic spark Bitcoin needs to extend its momentum. If the deal is formally announced, $117,000 could flip into strong support, paving the way for a potential retest of $125,000 — a symbolic milestone marking the first major leg of Bitcoin’s post-halving cycle.

Summary:

Bitcoin remains in a bullish configuration — both technically and fundamentally.

If Trump and Xi finalize a deal to ease tariffs on October 30, it could be the turning point that reignites market confidence and propels BTC toward the long-awaited $125,000 mark.

#bitcoin , #BTC , #CryptoMarket , #TRUMP , #cryptotrading

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