Recently, I participated deeply in the experience of polymarket.
If you want to treat it as information, the premise is that this event will definitely be controlled + someone will leak it.
However, based on most of the betting I have participated in, this condition is not met.
Before each game, ESPN will display the win probability prediction, which can change or even reverse as the game progresses.
There's not much different on Polymarket either, don't be too superstitious, the probabilities will change over time.
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