$BTC
Now that price took out the weekly and monthly high, things are looking very good for continued upside into price discovery.
Weekly Timeframe
- Only 8% of weeks would take out the weekly low
- 97.6% of bullish weeks move higher
- The 90% and 80% confidence targets are at 125.2 and 125.6k respectively: price discovery
Monthly Timeframe
- Only 12% of months would take out the monthly low
- 100% of bullish months see further displacement
- Monthly 90% confidence target is at 131k
Given that the weekly will most likely be bullish, the risk of taking out the monthly low will most likely be eve

We're entering the stage of the cycle where most people will start over-rotating their spot portfolio positions trying to maximize gains.
My spot strategy is simple: I will simply hold my current spot holdings until I sell them for fiat. No rotations.
I'm pretty sure that by the end of the cycle, this strategy will have outperformed 95% of people constantly rotating their spot positions.
Over-rotation is often a form of greed. A skilled few people will be able to do it very effectively, but for me I know small/micro caps are not my expertise.
So I'm staying in my lane and am more than happy w

$ETH
Weekly confidence targets in case the weekly low holds:
- 90% of bullish weeks have enough displacement to reach 3174
- 80% of bullish weeks have enough displacement to reach 3218
- 70% of bullish weeks have enough displacement to reach 3242
- 60% of bullish weeks have enough displacement to reach 3282
- 50% of bullish weeks have enough displacement to reach 3332

Another day where we can watch the bears stubbornly stick to their bias for lower even though the truth is obvious:
We’re in the middle of the next big impulse up.
GM bulls.

Not updating much because there’s not much to update. My main bias remains for higher prices to come on $BTC.
I’m usually most active with posts at HTF bottoms and at tops, because that’s where the work needs to done.
We’re now at the in-between stage; clearly left a HTF bottom but also clearly not at the next HTF top yet (according to my thesis, at least).
As someone who operates on higher timeframes, there is nothing to do during this stage but wait for the breakout impulse to start.
This is also why I post less during these periods, as nothing changes from a PA perspective and thus the name

It’s that part of the cycle where Bitcoin turns into a stablecoin.

One simple truth most fail to grasp: Price leads, narrative follows.
If you don't understand it, you'll always be 2 steps behind.
Sentiment is most bearish at bottoms and most bullish at tops because narrative doesn't lead; it lags.

$BTC
Brace yourselves. 2021 top fractal posts incoming.