12 月 ETH 价格预测 · 发帖挑战 📈
12 月降息预期升温,ETH 热点回暖,借此窗口期发起行情预测互动!
欢迎 Gate 社区用户 —— 判趋势 · 猜行情 · 赢奖励 💰
奖励 🎁:预测命中的用户中抽取 5 位,每位 10 USDT
时间 📅:预测截止 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)
参与方式 ✍️:
在 Gate 广场发布 ETH 行情预测帖,写明价格区间(如 $3,200–$3,400,区间需<$200),并添加话题 #ETH12月行情预测
发帖示例 👇
示例①:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,150-$3,250
行情偏震荡上行,若降息如期落地 + ETF 情绪配合,冲击前高可期 🚀
示例②:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,300-$3,480
资金回流 + L2 降费利好中期趋势,向上试探 $3,400 的概率更高 📊
评选规则 📍
以 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)ETH 实时价格为参考
价格落入预测区间 → 视为命中
若命中人数>5 → 从命中者中随机抽取 5 位 🏆
Crypto Achilles Heel: How The Absence Of Settlement Infrastructure Is Holding Back The Market
Ram Ahluwalia, the CEO of PeerNova, recently commented on the liquidity challenges the crypto market faces. According to Ahluwalia, the lack of a crypto bank settlement layer has led to a significant drying up of liquidity, hurting market makers and other participants in the industry.
Crypto’s Biggest Challenge
In traditional finance, the solution to this problem is provided by well-capitalized clearinghouse firms such as the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC), Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
These firms act as the intermediary between buyers and sellers, assuming the role of the seller to every buyer and the buyer to every seller. This allows market makers to settle instantly with counterparties without taking on any counterparty or settlement risk.
The role of clearinghouse firms in traditional finance is crucial for ensuring market stability and facilitating efficient trading. By assuming the counterparty risk of every trade, these firms provide confidence and security that encourages market participants to trade with one another
However, the lack of a similar clearinghouse infrastructure in the crypto market has created significant challenges for market participants. Market makers and other participants are forced to assume counterparty and settlement risk without a centralized clearinghouse, which can be a significant barrier to trading.
This has led to a drying up of liquidity in the market, making it more difficult for traders to find counterparties and ute trades.
The Importance Of Infrastructure
According to Ahluwalia, there is a growing need for a crypto bank settlement layer that can provide the same security and confidence as traditional clearinghouses to address this challenge. This would allow market makers to settle instantly with counterparties without taking on any counterparty or settlement risk.
It would also help improve market stability and facilitate efficient trading, which would benefit the crypto market as a whole.
However, the emergence of solutions such as Signature Bank’s Signet, a blockchain-based and a competitor to Silvergate Capital Corp’s now-defunct SEN, has seemingly solved this problem for the crypto market, according to Ahluwalia
Before the two crypto-friendly bank’s debacle, these solutions provided market makers with instant settlement, allowing them to trade with counterparties without having to tie up capital on multiple exchanges or wait for funds to clear, which is crucial for improving capital efficiency. The lack of it can lead to a drying up of liquidity in the market.
On the other hand, Ram Ahluwalia raises an interesting question regarding using a secure high Transaction Per Second (TPS) blockchain to settle transactions instead of the banking settlement layer. While decentralization has grown in popularity, Ahluwalia believes that certain risks are associated with relying solely on blockchain technology for settlement.
One major issue is compliance with sanctions screening laws issued by organizations like the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), a division of the US Treasury. This list includes North Korea, drug cartels, Russian oligarchs, and Iran. Market makers were previously able to rely on banks to ensure compliance with these laws, but without this layer of oversight, market makers would be assuming more risk
Overall, for Ram Ahluwalia, in the context of a 24×7 crypto market, the need for a 24×7 bank instant settlement layer is critical to unlocking liquidity, and the recent loss of critical market infrastructure like Sen and SigNet has highlighted the importance of having a reliable settlement layer in place.