Recently studied spiral 🌀丸

The following content is drawn from charting and analysis and does not constitute investment advice.
The market is expected to pull back to the 2181-2270 support zone around May 6 to May 13, and then start a new upward wave; the core targets are 2804-2850.

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1. Core Path Prediction (Highest Probability)

• Pullback Phase:

◦ Target price level: the 2181-2270 range (near the 38.2% retracement point).

◦ Time window: about 21-28 days from now; focus on May 6, 2026 to May 13.

◦ Current status: the correction has not ended yet, and downside room is still expected.

• Rally Phase:

◦ Start time: after the above pullback ends, starting in mid-May (especially paying attention to around May 13).

◦ Core targets:

▪ First target: 2589-2650

▪ Main target: 2804-2850 (multiple technical resonance positions)

▪ Extreme strong target: above 3042

2. Key Resonance Positions

• Core Support Zone:

◦ 2270-2181: the 38.2% retracement point; the ideal area for the wave尺 “shallow pullback and deep rise,” resonating with the Fibonacci spiral downward arc.

◦ 2108/2034: the 50% and 61.8% retracement points; alternate support for a deeper correction.

• Core Target Zone:

◦ 2589: the 127.2% extension level, the first stop for the upward move.

◦ 2804: the most critical target; a multiple-resonance point where the 161.8% extension level, the Fibonacci circle’s second circle, and the spiral upward arc converge.

◦ 3042: the 200% extension level, the target for an extremely strong bullish scenario.

3. Trading Strategy Summary

• Medium-term Layout:

◦ Timing: early May; build positions in batches within the 2181-2270 zone.

◦ Target: look toward above 2800.

◦ Risk control: strictly set a stop-loss below 2170/2160. Use low leverage (≤3x), combined with grid trading and a moving take-profit.

• Short-term Trading:

◦ Look for bargain-buy opportunities in the 2270-2180 area (needs confirmation with signals such as a KDJ golden cross).

◦ Short-term target: 2380-2419.

4. Risks and Invalidation Signals

• Core Path Invalidation Conditions:

◦ If the daily closing price falls below 2170, it indicates structural damage, the pullback will deepen toward around 2034, and the subsequent upward targets need to be revised down to around 2500.

• Conditions for an Accelerated Uptrend:

◦ If it holds directly above 2420 before May 13, it may avoid a deep pullback and the market could accelerate upward immediately.

Core Logic

The above forecast is based on the multi-dimensional time-price resonance derived from Elliott Wave Theory (Wave 2 pullback and Wave 3 rally) and Fibonacci tools (retracement ruler, extension ruler, time sequence, spiral circles). The market is currently in a phase where the main players (MM) are consolidating and accumulating in the key range, building energy for the subsequent rally.#加密市场回升 #Gate13周年 $ETH