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April 15th Today's Thinking and Operational Suggestions
After the price retreated from the high of 76,000, it is currently testing key support in the 73,500-73,800 range. If it successfully holds above 73,500, it is considered a healthy pullback; if it falls below, it may develop into a deeper decline.
News-Driven Factors
The recent rally is driven by the following macro narratives, and their sustainability will be key to the future direction:
Inflation Cooling: US March PPI data came in below expectations, easing market anxiety over interest rate hikes and benefiting risk assets.
Capital Inflows: Institutions are actively entering the market. Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows exceeded $411 million in a single day; major players like Strategy have recently invested about $1 billion to increase their BTC holdings, with an average price of around $71.9k.
Geopolitical Relaxation: Expectations for US-Iran talks have increased, oil prices have fallen, boosting market risk appetite.
Operational Suggestions: Enter long positions in the 72,400-73,000 range, with take profit at 75,200 and stop loss at 71,650.