Will crude oil still rise? Can cryptocurrencies continue to surge? The key factor this time depends on one variable!

All current market issues can actually be boiled down to one variable:
— Will the situation escalate?
If it doesn't escalate:
✔ Crude oil remains volatile at high levels
✔ Cryptocurrencies continue to recover
✔ Gold stabilizes and returns to normal
If it escalates:
✔ Crude oil keeps pushing higher
✔ Risk assets come under pressure
✔ Gold strengthens
So the key is not to judge whether prices will go up or down, but to judge—
the probability.
Currently, the market is betting on “it won't escalate.”
That’s also why:
✔ Cryptocurrencies are rising
✔ Risk appetite is warming
But the problem is, if this bet is wrong, the pullback will be quick.
So, the one thing to do in your allocation is:
— Keep a backup plan.
✔ Don’t fully commit
✔ Hedge your positions
✔ Keep cash on hand
In one sentence:
You can be optimistic, but you must leave an escape route. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 #