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SOLANA TREASURY CRISIS: ANALYST WARNS OF 50% FURTHER CRASH FOR INSTITUTIONAL HOLDERS
As of April 13, 2026, the “Institutional Solana” trade is facing a catastrophic reckoning. According to a grim report from BeInCrypto, public companies that pivoted their balance sheets toward Solana (SOL) are witnessing a collapse that mirrors the volatility of low-cap meme coins. Since late 2025, Solana treasury stocks have shed between 75% and 92% of their market value. Despite these massive drawdowns, prominent analysts like Ted Pillows are sounding a high-decibel alarm: these stocks could still plummet an additional 30% to 50% before finding a definitive floor. The “Meme Coin” Mirror and Unrealized Billions The primary catalyst for this equity bloodbath is the toxic combination of concentrated exposure and high entry prices. Forward Industries (FWDI), currently the largest institutional holder of SOL with 6.9 million tokens, is the poster child for this crisis. The firm’s stock has plunged over 89% from its September peak of $46. Data from CoinGecko reveals that Forward Industries acquired its SOL at an average price of $230 a staggering figure considering SOL is currently fighting to hold the $82 level. This leaves the company sitting on over $1 billion in unrealized paper losses, raising urgent questions about its long-term solvency. A Sector-Wide Contagion in Digital Equity Forward Industries is not alone in this downward spiral. Sol Strategies (STKE), which debuted on the Nasdaq just last September, has seen its value evaporate by over 92%. Similarly, Sharps Technology (STSS) is down roughly 89%, carrying $225 million in paper losses, while DeFi Development Corp (DFDV) has fallen 75%. The trend suggests that “Single-Asset Treasury Strategies,” once hailed as visionary during the 2025 bull run, have become a liability in the high-interest-rate environment of 2026. While some analysts point to temporary strength in Ethereum treasury firms as a potential rotation play, the overarching sentiment remains “Extreme Fear.” The “Halving Hangover” and the Search for a Bottom The 2026 “Halving Hangover” has proved particularly brutal for the Solana ecosystem, which has seen a 34% year-to-date decline. Without a sustained recovery in the underlying token price, these treasury-backed companies are effectively “Walking Dead” stocks, trapped in a feedback loop of declining asset value and investor liquidations. For the market to stabilize, SOL would need to reclaim its $100–$120 range to alleviate the balance sheet pressure on these firms. Until then, the “Supply Wall” of potential institutional liquidations continues to loom over the market, keeping the “Digital Equity” sector in a state of high-alert volatility.
Essential Financial Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Reports of Solana treasury stocks crashing 75%-92% and warnings of a further 50% drop are based on market data as of April 13, 2026. Investing in companies with concentrated cryptocurrency exposure involves extreme risk, including potential bankruptcy and total loss of capital. Unrealized losses on balance sheets are subject to rapid change based on market volatility. Always conduct your own exhaustive research (DYOR) and consult with a licensed financial professional.
Is the “Solana Treasury Crash” a generational buying opportunity for these stocks, or a warning to avoid single-asset institutional plays?