Cointelegraph news, according to Cointelegraph, Coin Bureau founder and crypto market analyst Nic Puckrin stated that Bitcoin's current recovery trend is fragile, and geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures triggered by the Middle East war will dominate the market trend in the second quarter of 2026, with interest rate cuts not expected until the third or fourth quarter at the earliest. He pointed out that for BTC to break through $90,000, it must simultaneously meet three conditions: easing geopolitical tensions, oil prices falling back to around $80, and economic data weakening.