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On Monday, Trump announced a delay in attacks on Iran's energy infrastructure and hinted that both sides could jointly control the Strait of Hormuz. This news triggered severe volatility and reversals across global markets; the US dollar index turned lower, US Treasury yields retreated, gold fell and hit its longest nine-day losing streak since 2023, silver bounced off lows, oil prices fell sharply due to eased tensions but narrowed losses after Iran denied the reports. US stocks, European stocks (excluding the UK), and cryptocurrencies generally rose, while A-shares and Hong Kong stocks reversed course with across-the-board sharp declines, with clear divergence appearing across market sectors. Focus will continue tracking core signals including Federal Reserve policy implementation, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, with real-time updates to positioning strategies and target dynamics.

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Bitcoin extended the previous day's (Sunday) downtrend yesterday morning, continuing to decline and testing support around the 67,300 USD level. Subsequently, the daytime session fell into oscillation and consolidation, with relatively stable price action. In the afternoon, driven by news factors, the market surged higher in a straight line, rapidly rising from around 68,500 USD and breaking above 71,500 USD at its peak, staging a short-term strong rebound. Entering the evening to early morning session, the market returned to stability, maintaining modest consolidation. From the current technical pattern, the high-level oscillation range has contracted significantly, with diminishing volume within the 4-hour channel. Combined with recent overall market volatility characteristics and volume performance, in the short term, the market will likely maintain oscillation and consolidation within the narrow channel formed by 4-hour closure, with no clear one-directional trend signals. Key attention should focus on volume changes and breakthroughs of key support and resistance levels.

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Ethereum's price action yesterday similarly exhibited a pattern of oscillation surge followed by consolidation. Its early session extended Sunday's downtrend, declining to around the 2,023 USD level before rebounding modestly, subsequently oscillating and consolidating within the 2,070 USD range. By afternoon, the market tested lower again to around 2,021 USD, and after brief consolidation, driven by that day's news factors (escalating crypto market sentiment from Middle East geopolitical tensions), it surged straight up from around 2,050 USD to 2,190 USD. Subsequently, the market pulled back, eventually stabilizing near 2,120 USD. By early morning, it continued maintaining modest consolidation around this high-level range.
BTC2.45%
ETH3.54%
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