Tuesday Live Stream: Market-wide hundred stocks hit limit down, my heart remains steady as a mountain

Tuesday (March 24th), live broadcast at 8 PM, brothers and sisters, remember to tune in on time! [Taogu Bar]

Hundred stocks hitting the limit down, for the 2015 stock market crash, it’s just a drop in the bucket. You can lose money, but never lose confidence!

Like first, then watch. Annual profit of 90 million!

Recently, I haven’t had enough energy, but I still plan to dedicate at least three hours each day to focus and communicate with everyone through comments, helping fans who like my trading system identify and solve problems. So I will respond to comments in the order they are posted, starting from the first floor, to answer questions and clear doubts. Please try to post questions early; of course, I will do my best to answer all questions.

The first two hours, I will answer questions one by one in order; the last hour is reserved for loyal fans, to be fair.
If I missed any questions the day before, you can repost them in a new thread.
I want to answer all daily questions, but time is limited. Please understand.

Bidding didn’t meet expectations, unfollow Shaoneng, Shaolong’s bidding opened lower, what does that mean? See the chart below.

It indicates that all the bids placed last week were wrong—greedy longs. Why? Look at the chart: three one-word limit down boards, mostly with reduced volume, indicating many profit-taking positions still inside. I remember sharing that the higher the one-word limit, the more human weaknesses are released. Massive volume and price swings become more unpredictable. When the fourth day’s bidding opens lower, should we unfollow or not? Should we unfollow at bidding or wait for a quick rise at the low opening? The answers come entirely from quantification.

In the chart above, on the fourth day, the bidding opened lower. As we said, the opening price reflects everyone’s stance. A lower open indicates more bearish than bullish sentiment. Here, we need to quantify how big the bearish pressure is: the bearish positions in the three one-word limit down boards are being released gradually, so bearishness exists. Among the three limit-up boards with a 33% increase, various human weaknesses are involved. The larger the price increase, the more bearish positions there are, so the release will be greater. Be prepared to exit. Smart investors are among those who should also exit at this point, but their reasons differ. Some want to lock in profits due to human weakness; smart investors avoid massive divergences and avoid reacting to huge volume divergences.

The second reason for unfollowing is to look at whether the previous high point was a heavy high or a smooth high, as shown below.

In the chart above, when it hit a new high, it opened 4% lower compared to yesterday, which is a decreasing positive balance; relative to the bidding at this platform, it was the largest negative balance at open, indicating a negative weight. Also, it rose strongly in the afternoon, showing it was also weighted negatively. The dynamic value is not 9010 or 5.7 at the new high, indicating this high point has no width.

What I want to say is that after passing the previous negative high point, the new high is followed by a bearish repeat. It remains a negative high point, so only when bearishness is confirmed should bidding exit, and there will be no width.

These are the reasons for unfollowing Shaoneng based on bidding.

The risk of Chitianhua: today I was absent for five hours, thinking about the reason for Chitianhua’s afternoon reversal. It might be due to a long-standing XI habit. When I encounter trading bottlenecks, I prefer solitude and quiet sitting. In the first two or three hours of sitting quietly, my mind is blank because I don’t know where the reason lies, but I can’t distract myself with other things. I know I will find the answer eventually because my brain contains fragmented memories. If you give them space to be alone, they will reorganize these fragments into the answers I want.

After five hours, the fragments formed the answer. Initially, I thought Chitianhua would form a deep V like GCL-Poly, as shown below.

Now, look at how many times Chitianhua’s double break was released today.

Compare the two images above: is the release of the bearish line extremely similar? The only difference is GCL-Poly’s first release, while Chitianhua’s is the second. So, there’s a question:

1. What’s the difference between the first and second releases?
   We should know that the earlier the release, the stronger the human weaknesses faced (non-trend human weaknesses). When human weakness coefficients are high, the suppression is more intense. Only when human weaknesses are high during the first release can there be a double break buy point, because fear is high.

2. Which is safer, the second or the first release? From a safety perspective, the first release is the safest. In the chart above, Chitianhua’s second release is shown. We said before that before trading, one must quantify bullish and bearish forces. A big risk here is that both the first and second releases form a massive volume combination—what I call a “massive volume combo,” where the winner takes all and the loser is defeated. It will be two extremes: the first release and the second release form two forces, as shown below.

3. The combined force of 1+2, where the second release is stronger than the first, with larger bullish momentum, leading to another new high. So, the question is: after another new high, should we buy at the double break or at the first limit-up? Isn’t the first limit-up the better buy point?

4. The 2+1 decline, where after the second release hits a new high, bullish momentum diminishes, and bearish momentum increases. According to the law of emotional conservation, when bullish decreases, bearish increases. In this case, the stock price will likely form a double break, or even triple or quadruple breaks, because bearish forces are larger, and the center of gravity shifts downward.

In summary: the answer is clear. The first release can use the double break buy point, but the second release should not—it’s better to consider the first limit-up buy point. Looking at past cases I’ve focused on, you might understand immediately.

For example, Baichuan Shares used the double break at the first release, which worked well with XI.

Meiliyun is the same.

Hanlan Shares follow the same logic. Maybe by now, you understand why you’ve been losing money all along—the reason is here.

Respect the market, start with yourself; protect your capital, start with yourself.

This is a breakdown of the double break. Have you learned it?

Personal opinion, for reference only.

I wonder if everyone understands. Actually, if during the practice of XI, you actively control risks, regardless of the trading method, using it well will be better than many outside methods. Also, more trading methods can attract more followers and increase the popularity of my articles, helping me become an excellent blogger on Taoxian. My second career goal is to be an outstanding blogger, and you are to become an excellent trader.

Remember, I want to be an outstanding blogger on Taogu Bar, and success or failure depends on you; you want to be an excellent trader, and I will always accompany your growth! We should achieve each other.

Remember, trading should be emotionless. When I communicate with everyone, I notice many people carry emotions. Be aware of this. If you carry emotions, you will be biased and hallucinate. I only get emotional about fuel coupons and likes, because my energy is clearly insufficient. I don’t read everyone’s comments immediately every day; I may prioritize loyal fans first. I hope those serious about learning XI become loyal fans early, so communication is easier. In principle, I will read all fans’ comments unless my energy is truly insufficient.

Recently, a new member asked how to learn systematically. I am just a professional trader, not a lecturer, so I haven’t categorized according to standards. But everyone can follow these steps. The link to learning XI below is very important; it contains 8 articles that can be studied repeatedly.

Wildman Brother’s dynamic volume determines the universe, and intraday rise and fall teach you how to break the pattern at a glance—Wildman Brother, Taogu Bar. Focus on the 4-cycle ACBC2 in intraday trading.

There are two key areas to study:

2. Articles labeled with “Mind Method” (currently updated 1-7 articles).

3. The three live broadcast replays on the homepage.

That’s all for today’s XI trading method. Spreading the gospel is not easy; I hope fate allows us to cherish each other.

30 years of short-term trading, 25 years of low buy-in, and in the last 5 years, I’ve shifted to trading breakouts, including first boards, consecutive boards, and leaders, all based on my self-created “Emotional Quantification ACB Trading System.”

In these 25 years, two things have been the hardest:坚持高频超短低吸 (persisting in high-frequency ultra-short low buy-in), and never hitting the board. This has allowed me to survive in this industry. Looking around, few can survive 30 years in ultra-short low buy-in trading, and I only look at volume and naked K-lines, never at moving averages. My path is different from most. I admire Jesse Livermore deeply. I’ve read and listened to his “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator” countless times. It’s time to reread it. 90% of my system is based on his ideas, such as the least resistance line, where stock prices tend to run along the path of least resistance; riding the trend; my cycle pressure values; key point trading; my axis method; patience and chaos time cycles for exit; the market is always right; when wrong, reflect on oneself; emotional control—never let emotions influence your trading, and how to manage emotions through position sizing, etc.**

The second thing is that I am not tempted by the huge profits from hitting the board. The main reason is my understanding. My system emphasizes time cycles. My low buy-in mode requires C=8 or greater than 8. That means, if the stock doesn’t drop significantly, I won’t do low buy-in. Now I understand: hitting the board involves C=4, so the time cycle doesn’t match, and I won’t take risks. Therefore, I oppose new investors jumping straight into consecutive boards.

I used to trade alone, but now I suddenly have 20,000 followers, many of whom are loyal fans. That means I need to do well in my own trading and also learn XI with my followers, communicate, and observe their growth daily. When they do well, I rejoice; when they struggle, I worry. Of course, there are no teachers in this market—only because my followers like and trust my trading system. I understand more.

On Taogu Bar, everyone can freely communicate, learn from each other, and share insights. I will also honestly share my trading ideas, market views, and personal holdings.
But I must remind everyone: the platform strictly prohibits stock recommendations and guiding buy/sell decisions. All content I share is personal notes and thoughts, not investment advice.
Followers can refer to and discuss, but must make independent judgments, bear the risks, and invest rationally. Do not follow blindly or blindly imitate. Stick to your trading principles.

Next, let’s review today’s XI learning content. There are 5 consecutive limit-ups today.

Yesterday, I mentioned one might be a consecutive limit-up. Now, look at Huadian LN; its success in PK, and whether it has a smooth value tomorrow. But the difficulty of upgrading is very high now, so even if it has a smooth value of 9010, it should be let go for observation. The intraday shows no volume zero performance, but today there was a smooth value because it didn’t hit a limit-up height; it was just performing.

Three FXs, first release—check if bidding is a negative weight decreasing. If yes, look for double break XI points. There are two modes for this: one is the intraday 4-cycle positive ACBC2, the other is the inverted ACB.

AORD, also the first release, again check the bidding’s center of gravity and whether it’s double broken. Also, check the 4-cycle intraday pattern—positive ACB or inverted ACB. Both have two forms, and these can be discussed for XI learning.

Like this Rees KD, the first release—looking back, it seems like an opportunity.

Zhuolang ZN, an XI case study.

XH KJ, an XI case study—must check the dynamic value of intraday.

Jin ZD, an XI case study—second release. If it’s 2+1, the downward space will be large.

Now, let’s look at the market.

We usually divide the market’s three key points into two parts: the above chart shows last Friday’s trend, ending with a 1+2 decline path. So, the forecast for Monday morning is bearish—this is the first; after the sharp decline, the path of last Friday’s decline releases, entering the second release. The long green candle indicates strong bearish exit intent, as shown below.

In the chart above, after the sharp drop, the longest green candle of the day appears, which can determine the trend—one green candle can decide the market. Eventually, it caused a hundred stocks hitting the limit down. However, after the afternoon plunge, no longer green candles appeared; all were divergence-style declines, indicating that the afternoon’s bearishness was diverging from the longest green candle. The market might rebound on Tuesday morning.

Divergence decline: 3+2+1, as time passes, bearish forces exhaust.

Yesterday’s big drop made put options the biggest winners, with a single-day increase of 8 times. This part also requires learning XI. In the future, if the market deteriorates completely, it will be its time to perform.

In the morning at 11, the 4-cycle positive ACB2 was formed; C2 is a key point. In the afternoon, the more the market drops, the more impressive its performance.

The review ends here. There are double break targets to learn XI, but they need secondary confirmation.

Personal opinion, for reference only.

Thank you all for your recognition. The world’s only untrustworthy thing is sincerity! My wish is to have students all over the world.