Real Account Record: A 20-Year Old Retail Investor's Path to Breaking Even (26-03-23)

Goal: Reach 1.3 million by March [Taogu Ba]

Date: 03-23
Stock Market Weather: Shanghai Composite (-3.63%) CSI 2000 (-5.39%) Up 305 Down 5172
Today’s Profit and Loss: -1.40%

Today’s Operations

1. Last night, I queued Zhongli Group and Huashu Holdings. After the bidding started, I found Huashu Holdings’ order was not as expected, so I withdrew. Zhongli Group was the largest order today, matching the pattern, so I continued to queue.

2. After the bidding ended, Zhongli Group opened with a flat board, with a成交 of 50 million and a封单 of 730 million. I still had about 250 million in封单 ahead, so I felt there was still a chance and continued to queue; Huashu Holdings opened more than 1 point lower, barely meeting Mode B; Heng Tian Hai Long, Jing Tou Development, and Shuhua Sports opened over 2 points lower, the trend was too weak, so I gave up tracking. Today, both CSI 2000 and Shanghai Composite opened lower, market conditions need further observation.

3. I fed all flat boards along with their连板数 and封单量 into AI analysis, which recommended Shangneng Electric. Seeing Shenhua Development A flat board, and Huadian Liaoning Energy opening 6 points higher, should be able to upgrade. The power sector still has good opportunities, so I directly placed limit orders to buy. The overall environment today was poor, and this stock also performed poorly. In the future, when CSI 2000 underperforms Shanghai Composite, I will avoid arbitrage first. For now, I feed the daily upgrade results back to AI, letting it optimize the model itself. Once the new model stabilizes, I will take action.

4. Among the alternatives, Zhongli Group’s flat board is the strongest backup. As long as it doesn’t炸板, I will abandon other opportunities. I queued this stock all day and only bought it during the closing auction. Today, a total of 300 million traded, volume not small. I don’t know if there will be a premium tomorrow.

5. I hold five stocks. Copper Bull Information was a failed arbitrage, with a small position. After a morning surge and pullback, it stayed below the moving average. I sold at the moving average. In the afternoon, the stock price moved further away from the moving average, so I cleared the position. Rise Kangda’s bidding went from limit down to -4 points, quickly surged at open, and under its lead, optical communication modules also strengthened. I felt it might hit the upper limit, so I placed a limit order at the涨停 price minus 2 cents and successfully sold. Mingpu Optical Magnetic was反推 by Rise Kangda to a flat board the day before, which炸板. Today, Rise Kangda hit the upper limit again. I thought it might平盘出, but missed the chance. In the afternoon, it broke below the moving average, so I sold at the moving average. Jixin Technology opened low and moved higher. I expected Huadian Liaoning Energy’s upgrade to boost the power sector to涨停, but the overall environment was poor. It even broke below the moving average in the afternoon and couldn’t recover, so I sold at the moving average. Chengbang Shares lost more, no rebound today, so I didn’t rush to sell, planning to wait two more days. I also tried a T+0 trade at the end of the day but failed. I will wait for it to recover before selling, and practice T+0 trading.

6. The market plunged again today, feeling that the bottom of the big A-shares is too hard to guess. Fortunately, I didn’t do many operations outside the pattern today. The main loss today was due to the continued decline of last Friday’s holdings. After returning to pattern-based trading, I regained a sense of control over the market, so I’m not panicked. I just saw news that Huang Mao has admitted defeat, voluntarily pausing for 5 days on Persia Power. With this positive news, tomorrow’s rebound probability is about 90%. I need to work harder.

Trading Pattern and Experience Summary
-------------Stock Selection-------------

1. Select 3 first-board stocks every night for the backup pool, considering the overall market, sectors, hot spots, and stock patterns. Choose strong rather than weak stocks, only the strongest sectors or new sectors (first boards). Prefer stocks with重组 concepts or multiple strong concepts. Avoid stocks with overly good performance (02-10).
2. If no suitable first-board stocks are available that day, do not trade. Stocks without sector support are directly PASS (01-08).
3. Don’t rush during holidays; wait until the last night, and choose based on all news fermentation (02-10).

-------------Position Opening-------------

1. Only do one entry with two exits, selecting the strongest from the backup pool for overnight orders. Focus on bidding flat boards; if not possible, stay in cash (04-24).
2. During the main rise, prioritize flat boards; during chaos, abandon flat boards and focus on catching turnover stocks for打板 opportunities (12-27).
3. Cancel orders with封单 less than 100 million before 9:20 AM (05-30).
4. When CSI 2000 turns red, is stronger than Shanghai Composite, and the stock’s sector has no涨停 or only flat boards (09-04):
   a. If the backup stock opens 6-9 points higher and successfully hits the板 before 10:00 → buy at打板
   b. If it opens 1-5 points higher and the price stops跌 and recovers,突破 intraday high → buy at突破
5. Use volume arbitrage based on bidding flat boards to find the most related one-in-two targets, buy on the first bidding, sell on the second (02-27).
6. Use half-position rolling operations to reduce risk (01-03).
7. Do not trade stocks with 20CM (03-07).
8. Only do flat boards with over 80% success rate at night (06-20).
9. Don’t be afraid or浮动; buy if it matches the pattern. If missed, wait for the next opportunity. The market offers many opportunities; patience is key (12-12).

-------------Holding Stocks-------------

1. All stocks hitting涨停 must have封单 alerts. If封单 drops by more than half, consider smashing the板 (12-25).
2. Stocks炸板 yesterday with a gap down over 2 points should be sold at limit price at open (12-27).
3. For stocks that didn’t hit the板 yesterday, observe if bidding trend weakens or strengthens. If weakening, sell at open; if strengthening, hold along the均线 (12-27).
4. Stocks with连板 success (excluding third-party stocks) can be managed until the close auction. If unable to涨停, sell at跌停价 (12-27).

-------------Other-------------

1. After big losses, stay calm. The road is long. Keep cool, earn back gradually according to plan (12-03).
2. Review lessons before each market open. In 2025, focus on practice, continuously optimize stock selection, and improve success rate (12-31).

2025 Profit: 34.41%, Success Rate: 50.09%

January Trading Summary
Monthly profit: 11%, Success rate: 58.13%

February Trading Summary
Monthly profit: 8.32%, Success rate: 62.06%

March Trading Summary
03-02 Backup (He Shun Petroleum 9.99, Hunan Gold 10.00, Oriental Zirconium -0.58, Nanhua Futures 6.82, Delong Hui Neng -1.52)
Buy (He Shun Petroleum, next day 9.99, profit/loss 9.91) (Hunan Gold, next day -1.78, profit/loss 6.40)
03-03 Backup (Chitianhua 4.73, Leike Defense -1.41, Beiken Energy 10.01, Baiyun Electric -3.37, Tefa Information -6.10)
Buy (Leike Defense, next day -0.37, profit/loss -9.14) New pattern (New Natural Gas, same day 9.39, next day -4.88, profit/loss 0.20)
03-04 Backup (Hongtong Gas -4.68, Shaanxi Black Cat -5.10, Ningbo Shipping -8.62, Baichuan Energy -168, Beijing Kere 1.83)
Buy (Hongtong Gas, next day -3.21, profit/loss -11.69) New pattern (Kerei Technology, same day -4.64, next day -4.74, profit/loss -5.34)
03-05 Backup (Yinxing Energy -0.41, Red Sun 0.73, Yuexin Health -0.49, Chengbang Shares 5.99, Jingquan Hua 1.19)
Buy (Chengbang Shares, next day 10.00, profit/loss 3.88) New pattern (Demingli, same day 1.80, next day 5.86, profit/loss -0.43)
03-06 Backup (Taihao Technology 9.99, Woge Optoelectronics 1.29, Zhongchao Holdings 1.00, Baili Electric 2.11, Yawei Shares -2.77)
Buy (Baili Electric, next day 3.55, profit/loss 0.84) New pattern (Xiongtao Shares, same day -1.67, next day -2.04, profit/loss -7.27)
Outside pattern (Huacan Optoelectronics, same day 16.49, next day -1.93, profit/loss -8.55)
03-09 Backup (Ningbo Construction 10.02, GCL Energy Tech 9.99, Yaxing Chemicals 1.47, Zongshen Power -3.68, Changbao Shares -4.40)
Buy (Ningbo Construction, next day 9.93, three days 9.94, profit/loss 20.86) New pattern (Hangjin Technology, same day 2.31, next day -0.86, three days -0.50, profit/loss -2.36)
03-10 Backup (Yuhuan CNC 10.00, Li New Energy 0.21, Qunxing Toys 9.98, Hongbo Shares 2.12, Hongchuan Wisdom -5.93)
Buy (Yuhuan CNC, next day -4.02, profit/loss 10.01) (Qunxing Toys, next day -3.51, profit/loss 6.27) New pattern (Yunsai Zhilian, same day 5.08, next day -2.91, profit/loss -7.33)
03-11 Backup (Jin’an Guoji 2.62, Changjiang Communications 2.51, Dixin Communications 9.99, Zhongheng Design -0.74, Beijing Kere 2.10)
Buy (Dixin Communications, next day -4.64, profit/loss 0.82) (Beijing Kere, next day -2.19, profit/loss -1.50)
03-12 Backup (Jinpu Titanium 2.87, Chint Power 10.01, Energy-saving Wind Power 9.93, Sanfu Shares -4.22, Shenzhen Huaqiang -1.22)
Buy (Chint Power, next day 2.70, profit/loss 3.07) (Energy-saving Wind Power, next day -0.23, profit/loss 4.52)
03-13 Backup (Zhenjiang Shares -3.34, Shaanxi Black Cat 1.35, Jinkai New Energy -6.62, Jihan New Material -1.46, Kesen Technology -4.39)
Buy (Shaanxi Black Cat, next day -4.96, profit/loss -8.12) New pattern (Jilin Chemical Fiber, same day -3.98, next day 5.81, profit/loss 0.69)
03-16 Backup (Tianshun Wind Power -1.85, Richa Eastern -2.33, Xinghua Shares -1.93, Lanfan Medical 2.90, Jinying Shares -5.92)
Buy (Richa Eastern, next day -0.40, profit/loss -5.70) (Xinghua Shares, next day -1.57, profit/loss -8.32) New pattern (Sifang Jingchuang, same day 5.04, next day -4.00, profit/loss -8.15)
03-17 Backup (Taiji Industry 2.93, Hongbai New Material -1.30, Vico Technology -4.74, Youfu Shares 3.51, Annie Shares -1.64)
Buy (Hongbai New Material, next day 1.41, profit/loss -4.80) (Taiji Industry, next day 0.60, profit/loss 0)
03-18 Backup (Steel Hongxing 10.00, Jiangsu New Energy 1.89, Chenfeng Technology 0.37, Renzhi Shares 0.72, Zhongzhou Holdings -1.16)
Buy (Jiangsu New Energy, next day 4.39, profit/loss 1.87) (Steel Hongxing, next day -5.79, profit/loss 5.12)
03-19 Backup (Meili Yun 10.02, Chengbang Shares 2.20, Jiali Tu -0.10, Jinhai High-Tech -2.93, Hangdian Shares -1.64)
Buy (Jiali Tu, next day -1.66, profit/loss -4.15) (Chengbang Shares, next day -5.73, profit/loss)
03-20 Backup (Mingpu Magnetic 2.46, Jixin Technology -5.38, Richa Eastern -1.12, Lanyan Holdings 4.99, Guang’an Aizhong -5.75)
Buy (Mingpu Magnetic, next day -7.17, profit/loss -11.36) (Jixin Technology, next day 2.28, profit/loss -9.26)
New pattern (Copper Bull Information, same day -5.21, next day -7.17, profit/loss -17.52) Outside pattern (Rise Kangda, same day -4.46, next day 10.02, profit/loss -4.64)
03-23 Backup (Zhongli Group 9.97, Huashu Holdings -9.91, Heng Tian Hai Long -10.04, Jingtou Development -2.95, Shuhua Sports -4.12)
Buy (Zhongli Group, next day, profit/loss) New pattern (Shangneng Electric, same day -7.32, next day, profit/loss)

Tomorrow’s Plan

Try with half position size