Stellar Scores Big Institutional Deal, but XLM Price Still Drops - Crypto Economy

TL;DR:

• Societe Generale-FORGE has deployed EUR CoinVertible (EURCV), its MiCA-compliant stablecoin, on the Stellar network to enhance cross-border payments.
• Despite this institutional milestone, a negative Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicates a net capital outflow and a lack of investor conviction.
• XLM is currently trading at $0.156, with a $3.18 million liquidation risk for long positions if it drops below $0.145.

The Stellar ecosystem garnered institutional attention following Societe Generale-FORGE’s (SG-FORGE) announcement regarding the deployment of EUR CoinVertible (EURCV) on its network. This stablecoin, which strictly adheres to the European Union’s MiCA framework, aims to leverage Stellar’s infrastructure to provide fast, low-cost transactions.

However, the backing of one of France’s largest banks has not been enough to halt the market’s downward inertia. So far, a bearish sentiment prevails among investors, with weakened retail participation leaving the asset exposed to further corrections.


Critical Levels: Between Fibonacci Support and Liquidation

XLM is currently trading at $0.156, barely holding above the critical support at $0.155 after a 38.2% retracement. Although the price action is forming a falling wedge—a pattern that theoretically precedes bullish breakouts—money flow indicators (CMF) suggest that capital is exiting the asset rapidly.

The futures market reflects this uncertainty, leaning slightly toward short positions. The true danger lies at the $0.145 level; a break below this point would trigger a $3.18 million liquidation cascade, potentially accelerating a descent toward the market floor at $0.136.

For the scenario to shift, XLM must validate its current support and break the $0.166 resistance. Only a sustained close above $0.175 would invalidate the bearish thesis, confirming that the institutional adoption of stablecoins is finally reflecting in the network’s intrinsic value.

In summary, high volatility is expected in the coming days as the price tests the base of the wedge. Traders should closely monitor entry volume, as without a real shift in capital flow, the SG-FORGE news risks becoming a “buy the rumor, sell the news” event.