March 2, 2026 Morning Market Review and Trading Strategy

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March 2, 2026 Morning Market Review and Trading Plan [Taogu Ba]

  1. Overall Market Assessment Today’s market is basically consistent with the weekend review predictions.
    Political risks still warrant caution regarding certain themes. Additionally, the Middle East conflict theme has been ongoing for over a month, and this point is typically when profits are realized, making the outlook more objective and rational.

The market opened quite well and in sync today. After midday, there was some divergence, and in the oil and gas engineering sector, including natural gas, there was a flow back.

Despite overall negative sentiment today, the profit-making effect remains strong. It all depends on how well one can grasp the rhythm. From a short-term emotional perspective, today presents a good opportunity for divergence-based entry points.

  1. Key Sector Analysis Oil & Gas / Energy / Conflict Themes
    In the oil and gas engineering sector,
    We don’t know how long the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, but even if it reopens tomorrow, countries will strengthen traditional energy development, which is certain.
    The instability in the Middle East increases energy risks, prompting countries to ramp up exploration and extraction. Oil and gas engineering machinery and exploration will benefit normally, so this sub-sector is seeing a flow back.
    Regarding conflict themes, generally focus on oil and gas engineering, low-priced natural gas, and methanol.
    Methanol mainly depends on China Tianying, which has a stacking effect and is performing strongly.

Overall, the uncertainty of conflicts is high, with negotiations and fluctuations, making it hard to grasp. Personally, I prefer to stay on the sidelines and not consider this sector for now.

Price increase main line sectors AI
Price increases remain promising. As mentioned in the weekend review, today marks a watershed, with clear capital flow directions.

Optical fiber price hikes:
Hong Kong-listed Longfei Optics performed well, with Tefa Information and FiberHome Communications resonating. The logic of optical fiber price increases is fermenting, and these two are lagging behind.
FiberHome Communications is not just about optical fiber price hikes but also has Huawei concepts, making it a core for tracking potential trend movements.
Passive component software price hikes:
Fenghua High-Tech is the leader, showing a clear trend today with strong performance.
Lagging stocks:
Farsight, which has a small market cap and a positive expectation difference, is less noticed but has stronger sentiment.

Small metals (tungsten) sector:
Last Friday, tungsten was viewed as a climax in the review, but today shows divergence.
Jiang tungsten equipment opened too high today, leading to continuous profit-taking, but some funds are still absorbing.
Jiang tungsten equipment’s specific situation needs monitoring; it may be using this method to bypass volatility and trend later. This stock warrants close attention.

Yunnan Energy Holdings challenged a 100% move with little negative feedback.
Jiang tungsten equipment’s opening indicates tungsten sector funds are both buying and withdrawing.

Initially considered investing in Yunnan Energy Holdings today, but due to fund hesitation and regulatory uncertainty, it was not added. Continue with the planned price increase strategy.
The power sector showed significant divergence today.

Diamond cooling technology (NVIDIA chip cooling tech):
Last Friday’s late session saw Yellow River Cyclone rebound, and today the stock remains held.
Whether to sell Yellow River Cyclone today depends on the late session, but likely will hold for now.

  1. Specific Trading Actions Today
    Hanlan Co.: Sell after a planned rise.
    Chuanrun Co. (liquid cooling): Blocked by Feilong, take profit at over 6 points.
    All profit-taking funds are transferred to Farsight and Fenghua High-Tech, mainly focusing on Farsight.

  2. Future Strategy
    Conflict themes: Overall cautious, no participation.
    Continue focusing on price increase themes, following the original approach unchanged.

Key stocks to monitor: FiberHome Communications, Jiang tungsten equipment, Farsight, Fenghua High-Tech, Yellow River Cyclone.

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