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Kalshi traders are pricing a 62% probability that Ali Khamenei will be out as Supreme Leader before April.
That’s not a rumor — that’s market pricing.
When event markets cross 60% on a leadership change, it signals: • Political instability risk
• Escalation uncertainty
• Regional power vacuum
• Oil & macro volatility
If this gains traction, expect: 📈 Energy swings
📉 Risk-asset whipsaws
🔥 Aggressive liquidity hunts
Geopolitics is trading like earnings season. Stay sharp.