Do BTC/Gold market patterns indicate a cycle bottom? Analysis of a 14-month period

Crypto KOL Ted recently drew attention to an interesting pattern in the BTC/Gold ratio. According to his observations, historical market patterns show a consistent development of events that have repeated over several years. If this analysis proves accurate, the market today could be at a critical point.

Historical Patterns: How Past Cycles Developed

Ted identified an intriguing trend in the BTC/Gold ratio across the previous three market cycles. In 2014, 2018, and again in 2022, the same pattern was observed: each bear market bottomed out after approximately 14 months. These historical patterns, as the KOL claims, are more than mere coincidences—they reflect a deeper market cyclicality that should be taken seriously.

Currently, the BTC/Gold market has been in a bear cycle for 14 months. This observation has sparked lively discussion in the community: has the market already hit bottom, or is this just an interim point before further decline? This question arises for every investor trying to predict the next move.

Why Investors Are Paying Close Attention to This Pattern

Ted’s analysis is important because it is based on concrete historical data. Repeating patterns over three independent cycles are hard to ignore. However, the KOL issues a significant warning: if these historical patterns persist, it does not guarantee the outcome. Market conditions change, new factors influence dynamics, and the macroeconomic environment of 2026 differs significantly from 2014.

Active monitoring of this situation reflects one of the central dilemmas of cryptocurrency investing—the balance between historical regularities and market unpredictability.

Cyclical Patterns: Predictability or Randomness?

The key question is whether past patterns can reliably predict the future. Investors and analysts should remember that historical patterns can be useful indicators, but they are never absolute guarantees. The cyclicality of the BTC/Gold ratio observed over these three periods certainly warrants attention, but a prudent approach involves considering a multitude of other factors.

Thus, Ted’s observations about BTC/Gold cycle patterns remain an important signal for analysts and traders, but investors should approach such forecasts with appropriate caution.