Israel has just launched an attack on Iran (preemptive strike), and the U.S. military is also involved. Explosions have been heard in Tehran, and the entire country of Israel has entered a state of emergency. It is expected that Iran will retaliate soon with missiles/drones.

Due to the sharp escalation of this geopolitical conflict, market panic has ignited instantly:
- Spot gold surged directly to around **5350** USD (intraday gains have exceeded expectations, safe-haven funds are flooding in)
- Silver is even more violent, briefly touching **96.32** USD (a dual explosion of industrial and safe-haven attributes)
- Risk assets are being wiped out: Bitcoin quickly fell below **64000** USD, Ethereum directly lost the **1900** USD mark, and the crypto market is in chaos
In the Polymarket prediction market, short-term contracts regarding “U.S. military attack on Iran” have collectively surged, especially the probability of “U.S. military attacking Iran before March 13” has skyrocketed to around **86%**, with frantic bets on a full-scale outbreak in the short term.
The current market consensus is: a full-scale conflict in the Middle East is imminent.
Safe-haven assets are soaring, risk assets are crashing. This geopolitical black swan came too suddenly, and volatility is expected to continue amplifying in the short term. Exercise caution, cash is king.
(Data sourced from real-time market data and prediction markets, for reference only, not investment advice)