Yesterday's strategy has been validated. Today's strategy please check. Please indicate the original source when reprinting, Zhiyi Lunbi.


Today (February 28, 2026) Contract Trading Strategy
Strong Resistance Zone: $68,330 - $70,000. This area converges the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (200-week EMA), the 2021 all-time high ($69,000), and psychological integer levels, forming a "triple pressure." Any rebound to this zone is considered an opportunity to reduce positions or short.
Short-term Bull-Bear Divide: $66,200 - $66,500. This is the previous low support zone on the hourly level. If broken below this area, it is likely to accelerate the downward trend.
Key Support Below: $62,000. This is the neckline of a large "Head and Shoulders" pattern on the daily chart and has been tested multiple times in recent months as a demand zone, serving as the last defense barrier for bulls. Based on the current weak performance of falling below $66,000 and the significant supply pressure above, today's strategy mainly focuses on "shorting at high levels," abandoning long positions, and aligning with the short-term downtrend.
Specific Entry Points and Risk Control Settings:
Direction: Short
1. Aggressive Entry Point:
Price Range: $66,300 - $66,600
Logic: If the price rebounds but cannot stabilize above $66,600, it confirms a breakdown, and short positions are entered accordingly.
2. Conservative Entry Point:
Price Range: $67,800 - $68,200
Logic: Wait for the price to rebound to the resistance zone on the hourly chart or near the 200-week EMA, betting on the continuation of selling pressure here, with higher profit and loss potential.
3. Stop Loss:
Clear Price: $68,800
Logic: Strictly set above the $70,000 resistance zone and above the 200-week EMA. Once the price breaks this level, it indicates the invalidation of the short-term downtrend structure, and exit is necessary.
4. Take Profit:
First Target (TP1): $65,000
Second Target (TP2): $62,500
Logic: The first target is the previous low support, which is a weak support zone prone to triggering rebounds; the second target is the core demand zone, and upon reaching it, it is recommended to significantly reduce or close positions.
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