XRP Technical Outlook: XRP Pressures Macro Support Within Descending Channel

XRP remains under sustained bearish pressure following rejection from the cycle high near $3.66. Price has since formed a clear descending channel structure, producing consistent lower highs and lower lows.
After losing the 0.236 Fibonacci level ($1.71), XRP accelerated to the downside and is now consolidating just above the macro base near $1.11 (Fib 0).
Short-term stabilization is visible around $1.35–$1.45, but the broader trend remains decisively bearish unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
EMA Structure (Bearish Alignment Intact)
20 EMA: $1.44
50 EMA: $1.61
100 EMA: $1.83
200 EMA: $2.06
XRP is trading below all major EMAs, maintaining a clean bearish stack:
20 < 50 < 100 < 200
The $1.44–$1.61 zone now acts as immediate dynamic resistance, while the 100 & 200 EMA cluster near $1.83–$2.06 represents strong macro overhead supply.
Unless price reclaims the 50 EMA with strength, rallies remain corrective within a broader downtrend.
Fibonacci & Market Structure
1.0 Fib (Cycle High): $3.661
0.786 Fib: $3.117
0.618 Fib: $2.690
0.5 Fib: $2.390
0.382 Fib: $2.090
0.236 Fib: $1.719
Fib 0 (Macro Base): $1.119
The breakdown below $1.719 (0.236 Fib) confirmed structural weakness and continuation of the markdown phase.
Price recently wicked toward the $1.11 macro base, which represents the final major retracement support of the broader cycle move.
Holding above this level keeps the possibility of long-term accumulation intact. A confirmed breakdown below $1.11 would expose XRP to deeper historical consolidation zones.
RSI Momentum
RSI (14) is currently near 38–40, recovering slightly from oversold conditions.
Momentum remains below the 50 midline, signaling that bearish pressure still dominates.
A sustained push above 50 RSI would be the first sign of improving momentum structure.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$1.44 (20 EMA / range top)
$1.61–$1.71 (50 EMA + 0.236 Fib)
$2.09 (0.382 Fib)
Support
$1.35 (range support)
$1.11 (macro cycle base)
Below $1.11 → structural breakdown risk
RSI: 39 — weak recovery
📌 Summary
XRP remains in a broader bearish structure within a descending channel after losing key Fibonacci support at $1.71.
While short-term consolidation is forming near $1.35–$1.45, trend structure and EMA alignment continue to favor sellers.
Only a sustained reclaim of $1.61–$1.71 would begin shifting structure toward neutral. Until then, rallies are likely corrective, with $1.11 remaining the critical macro support to defend.
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