The legendary chart circulating in the English community predicts—Can BTC really reach $200K?

In September 2025, a senior analyst in the English-speaking crypto community posted a hand-drawn Bitcoin price prediction chart. At the time, many regarded it as entertainment analysis. However, as time progressed to February this year, the chart’s accuracy became astonishingly clear—matching nearly perfectly with the actual market movements: the late-2024 correction, early 2025 rebound, and recent sideways consolidation. This sparked widespread discussion across Twitter/X communities.

The Behind-the-Scenes of the Popular Prediction Chart—A Perfect Interpretation of Macro Cycles

The core logic of this prediction chart is not baseless but based on a systematic analysis combining historical cycles and macro factors. Specifically, it considers: the supply effects post-halving, continuous institutional capital inflows, and a more rational global regulatory environment, among other factors. The quantification of these variables in the chart gives it high reference value.

The analyst marked three key periods:

• 2025: Peak and Correction — Predicts a top followed by a decline forming a peak structure. Actual trend validation: a clear high point appeared around October last year, followed by a correction phase, aligning closely with the prediction.

• 2026: Bottoming Phase — Anticipates the price fluctuating between $60K and $80K throughout the year. As of February 27, BTC was about $65.81K (down 3.41% in 24 hours), right in the middle of the predicted range, perfectly illustrating the “consolidation and buildup” stage.

• 2027 and beyond: Super Bull Run Begins — Forecasts a surge above $200K, initiating a new upward cycle.

Why Is the English Community Now Sharing This Chart

From September 2025 to February this year, BTC’s actual movements have almost perfectly matched the chart’s key points. Influencers and big accounts in the English-speaking community are reposting and discussing it daily. Some call it “the next PlanB’s S2F model,” while others have saved it as a trading bible. This phenomenon reflects a common view: under a data-driven macro framework, the value of long-term cycle predictions is being reevaluated by the market.

In contrast, a fascinating market phenomenon has emerged—while the Western community emphasizes systematic analysis and long-term cycles, many Asian retail traders tend to chase short-term momentum and panic sell. The former advocates calm, strategic planning; the latter is often swayed by short-term volatility.

If the Prediction Holds—Investment Insights for 2026

Assuming the logic behind this chart remains valid, 2026 will likely be a low accumulation period. In a environment oscillating between $60K and $80K, dollar-cost averaging and phased building become rational strategies. Those patient enough to accumulate during the bottom zone could reap the greatest benefits when the market takes off in 2027.

Conversely, blindly chasing highs or panic selling will cause missed opportunities in this golden window.

Predictions Are Still Predictions—Risks Must Be Recognized

Despite the impressive track record of this prediction chart, market variables still exist. Federal Reserve policy adjustments, institutional ETF outflows, black swan events, and other unforeseen factors could disrupt the current rhythm. No prediction is 100% accurate; it’s always about probabilistic advantage. Rational investors should treat it as a reference framework, not an absolute truth.

During the consolidation phase in 2026, maintaining a balance of vigilance and patience, along with risk management, is the best strategy.

What do you think? Is this chart a genuine insight or a typical case of hindsight bias? Where do you think BTC will bottom out by the end of 2026?