From the daily chart perspective, Bitcoin is still in a clear downtrend overall, with a bearish moving average alignment, lower highs, and lower lows continuing to be made. The main trend remains unchanged, and the medium- to long-term downward structure is still intact.

However, when we switch to the 4-hour cycle, the market shows a very typical multi-factor technical resonance: the price has consecutively entered oversold zones, indicators and price form a clear bullish divergence at the bottom, and it has precisely touched the support level at the lower boundary of the downward channel. The three major signals are triggered simultaneously, directly leading to this short-term rebound.

But here, Peng wants to clearly remind everyone: this rebound is not a trend reversal. It is merely a technical correction after an oversold condition within the larger downtrend, a rebound within the bearish trend, and does not mean the decline has ended. In terms of trading, you can seize the short-term opportunities, but do not mistake the rebound for a reversal. Blindly chasing high risks significant losses.
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