【$AKT Signal】Neutral stance + Weak rebound in a downtrend

$AKT In a long-term downtrend, the price is consolidating weakly around EMA20. Although it temporarily broke above EMA20 (0.3108), the EMA50 (0.3264) above acts as strong resistance, and the daily trend remains clearly in a downward channel. The 4H buy/sell ratio shows some recovery, but overall volume is insufficient, and the rebound appears more like a continuation of the decline.

🎯Direction: Neutral

Market analysis: The price has been declining from a high of 0.5165 and is currently rebounding to the previous retracement level of 0.382 Fibonacci (around 0.315), where it faces resistance. RSI (49.11) is in a neutral to weak zone, with no overbought or oversold signals, lacking clear directional guidance.

Core logic: Open interest (OI) remains stable, and the funding rate (0.0050%) is positive but extremely low, indicating a lack of strong bullish or bearish sentiment. The depth imbalance (7.38%) shows slightly more buy orders, but mainly below the current price (around 0.31), indicating passive defense rather than active attack.

Key contradiction: The price is above EMA20, but EMA20 and EMA50 are still in a bearish alignment. This technical divergence suggests insufficient rebound momentum to reverse the larger downward trend. Market logic indicates “price decline,” and combined with stable OI, it’s more likely that the bullish rebound is weak rather than a short squeeze.

Trading plan: The current structure does not present high-probability trading opportunities. Long positions lack strong breakout confirmation and capital inflow; short positions face support from buy orders below and positive funding rates, which do not meet short squeeze warning conditions. The best strategy is to stay neutral and observe, waiting for the price to make a clear directional move at the 0.315 resistance or 0.30 support level.

Trade here 👇 $AKT

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