#美联储政策与会议 The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January is actually 85.1%? 😱 I had to read this number several times before I understood—it basically means a rate cut is unlikely?

Recently, I’ve been learning how to read these financial data, and I feel that every move by the Federal Reserve can influence the crypto market, but I’m still a bit confused: why does the market react so sensitively when interest rates stay the same? Is it because stable policy signals give investors confidence? Or is this actually bad news for crypto assets?

Seeing CME’s probability rise from 15.5% to 18.3%, and then seeing Polymarket at only 13%, these two numbers are different. Is this a real-world lesson showing that “market expectations are also divided”? 😅

I’d like to ask everyone: does the interest rate hold steady have any direct impact on us newcomers who just entered the market? Does it mean that large funds won’t make big moves in the short term? I feel I need to brush up on this knowledge. Could any experts kindly explain the logic behind this in simple terms?