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⚠️ Key Policy Variable Incoming—Federal Reserve Chair Investigation Could Impact Markets
Breaking news from Washington: Federal Reserve Chair Powell is under judicial investigation over testimony from June last year, with a grand jury involved. If a subpoena from the Department of Justice is ultimately issued, the key hearing in February may be missed entirely.
This sounds a bit surreal, but the consequences are very real—
🔴 The Risk of a Policy Signal Vacuum
The policy statements of the Federal Reserve Chair are usually important anchors for market expectations. Once this window closes, the market will have to navigate uncertainty on its own. The lessons from history are clear: when a central bank leader gets entangled in a legal scandal, it often triggers sharp asset price volatility and a surge in safe-haven demand.
🔴 Increasing Divisions on Capitol Hill
The Republican side has made it clear: until the judicial investigation is complete, the new Fed nominations will not pass. This also means that internal personnel changes at the Fed could be delayed, adding to policy implementation uncertainties.
📊 How Does This Look from a Trading Perspective?
$BTC $ETH Mainstream assets are highly sensitive to policy expectations. If the policy signals in February are missing, volatility typically spikes. The crypto market is especially prone to being torn apart by such "black swan" events—institutions and retail investors have completely different understandings of risk.
The current situation is: waiting. The market hates waiting, but this time it’s unavoidable. Keep a close eye on subsequent developments; any substantial progress could trigger the next wave of market movements.