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Is Bitcoin set to rebound in 2026? The key is the expansion of US dollar liquidity
【BlockBeats】The performance of Bitcoin in 2025 is not actually that bad. Yes, the gains haven’t outperformed gold, but this is entirely driven by liquidity—Bitcoin moves downward along with US dollar liquidity, which is the real situation.
In contrast, gold and the Nasdaq can rise against the trend, supported by stronger non-liquidity factors: the wave of de-dollarization by sovereign states and the nationalization of the AI industry. These two forces give them independent upward momentum.
But here’s the key point. Once US dollar liquidity expands significantly as expected in 2026, Bitcoin will rebound very strongly when the time comes. What will that look like? The Fed will once again start printing money, commercial banks will pour large amounts of funds into strategic industries, and mortgage rates will fall due to easing—this entire set of measures will push liquidity to new highs.
The current outlook is very clear: Trump will aggressively promote credit expansion to heat up the economy. An overheated economic environment will benefit the Republican Party in the November elections this year. The expansion of US dollar credit follows this logic—balance sheet expansion, strategic bank liquidity injections, and lower borrowing costs, all interconnected. From this perspective, Bitcoin’s current correction is just building momentum; the real market move is still ahead.