I was somewhat cautious about Bitcoin's recent trend, but in the long term, the pairing relationship between BTC and gold should eventually undergo mean reversion.



From a technical perspective, the BTC/Gold pair has currently touched a position above the annual VWAP by 2 standard deviations. Historical data shows that whenever the price reaches this extreme level, it often triggers a noticeable reversal.

Of course, further market observation is needed, but from the current technical standpoint, the time window for Bitcoin to show strong performance should not be far off. Such extreme positions usually indicate that a reversal opportunity is brewing.
BTC-0.61%
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notSatoshi1971vip
· 8h ago
Extreme positions are indeed prone to failure, but could this be another false breakout?
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MainnetDelayedAgainvip
· 8h ago
How many days have passed since the last time you said "the time window is not far"? It is recommended to do some statistics to prepare for the next extension.
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MiningDisasterSurvivorvip
· 8h ago
I've been through it all. In 2018, the same extreme positions were saying it would reverse, and what happened? It dropped all the way to grandma's house. How many times have I heard about mean reversion...
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DevChivevip
· 8h ago
The idea of mean reversion has been heard too many times; the key still depends on when gold moves. This wave of VWAP 2σ is indeed extreme, but a reversal ≠ necessarily an increase... Wait, is gold recently falling? Then this BTC pairing might really have potential.
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