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Gate 2025 Year-End Community Gala 2026/1/12 $DOGE 4-hour level is in a potential accumulation phase within a downtrend. Traders should maintain a cautious overall bearish outlook but avoid blindly chasing shorts at the current position.
Main trend: Downtrend. Confirmed by EMA bearish alignment, MACD below zero line, and negative histogram.
Short-term state: Near the end of the downtrend, initial signals of stabilization and momentum divergence appear. The market may be shifting from a unilateral decline to low-level consolidation or brewing a technical rebound. It is premature to assert a reversal, but the momentum for sharp declines is weakening.
Key Level Analysis
Resistance levels (need to break through to ease downward pressure):
1. Recent strong resistance: 0.14190 - 0.14250 area. This is where multiple rebounds have been blocked recently and where the fast EMA is currently located. Breaking this zone is the first signal of easing the bearish trend.
2. Critical bull-bear dividing line: 0.14500 - 0.14600 area. This is the lower boundary of the previous consolidation platform and the location of the slow EMA. A volume breakout above this zone could disrupt the downtrend, leading to a larger consolidation or rebound.
3. Strong resistance/trend reversal confirmation zone: 0.15000 - 0.15150 area. This is the starting platform of the current decline and the dense area of previous highs. Only by reclaiming this zone can a fundamental trend reversal be confirmed.
Support levels (a break below would open new downside space):
1. Recent weak support/current price zone: 0.13900 - 0.14000. The current price is hovering around this area; a breakdown would test the previous low again.
2. Key support level: 0.13726. This is the recent low and a volume spike point. This level is crucial; if effectively broken (e.g., 4-hour candle closes below it), the downtrend will continue, with the next target at a lower level.
3. Strong support/panic zone: around 0.13500. If 0.13726 is lost, this area may become the next target for bears.
Summary Recommendations:
1. Observe the price consolidation between 0.13726 and 0.14250.
2. Watch whether the MACD histogram can form a golden cross and whether the StochRSI bottom divergence is confirmed by the price (i.e., a strong rebound).
3. Monitor how the price tests the above key resistance and support levels to determine the next direction.
#每日行情分析 #2026 Market Forecast #DOGE