2026-01-12 09:40:57

#美国贸易赤字状况 The Federal Reserve Chair Under Investigation, but the Crypto World is Boiling!

The latest big news: Powell is under criminal investigation, ostensibly over testimony disputes related to the Fed's headquarters renovation project, but everyone can see that behind it is the Trump administration's relentless pressure to cut interest rates. Prosecutors long allied with Trump approved the investigation, and Powell openly called it "a blatant attack on the independence of the central bank."

At first glance, it seems like a political struggle, but it actually affects the entire financial ecosystem. Why does Trump insist on rate cuts? A simple calculation makes it clear—the $37.7 trillion national debt is overwhelming, and each 1% rate cut can save nearly $400 billion in interest payments. The Fed is steadfastly committed to inflation targets and refuses to compromise. This game directly targets the autonomy of interest rate policy.

For the crypto circle, this isn't just watching a show. History has the answer: during the zero-interest-rate cycle from 2020 to 2021, BTC surged 1700%, and ETH skyrocketed 1900%. When liquidity loosens, funds rush into high-risk assets. Standard Chartered Bank even predicts that by 2026, BTC could reach $300,000.

But don’t celebrate too early. The market has already priced in expectations of rate cuts, and risks are lurking. The escalation of political battles means increased policy uncertainty. The scene where BTC plummeted 50% at the start of the 2020 rate cut cycle could repeat. Investors need to prepare for two scenarios: if the investigation forces the Fed to accelerate rate cuts, core assets like BTC and ETH could enter a new rally; if conflicts intensify and trigger risk-off selling, it could be a good opportunity to buy quality coins on dips. The key is to closely monitor every policy signal and control leverage—don't get shaken out by volatility.

This "political and financial tug-of-war" has just begun. Can central bank independence be maintained? When will the rate cut window truly open? How can crypto assets seize that liquidity dividend? Looking forward to hearing your thoughts.

BTC1%

ETH0,54%

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NervousFingers

· 55m ago

Wait a minute, what does Powell being investigated have to do with the Federal Reserve's renovation project... That's such a ridiculous reason haha --- Lowering interest rates by one percentage point saves 400 billion, no wonder Trump is so eager, anyone can do the math --- I missed the zero interest rate wave in 2020, and I regret it now, but this time the risk is indeed high, leverage should be used cautiously --- Political game escalation = policy uncertainty, in simple terms, no one in the casino knows what the next hand will be --- Can BTC reach 300,000? I have reservations about Standard Chartered's prediction, but if interest rates are really cut, funds will definitely flow out --- Pay attention to signals, control leverage, this sounds easy, but how many people can really do it at critical moments --- Central bank independence vs political pressure, this fight is huge, retail investors can only wait to pick up the pieces

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ForumLurker

· 6h ago

Uh... wait, is the Powell investigation true or false? It feels like Trump is playing political tricks again, but that's just how the crypto world is; the more chaotic the policy game, the more opportunities there are. Can BTC still reach 300,000 this round? I want to see, but with so much leverage now, a wave of correction could trigger a liquidation, so I can't be too optimistic. This "stalemate" looks exciting, but in the end, we small investors still have to watch the capital flow; everything else is just empty talk. If a rate cut really happens, liquidity will definitely loosen, and high-risk assets will all take off. Whether ETH can keep up with BTC is still uncertain. By the way, where exactly are the real opportunities... rate cuts or continued hikes, can we be sure this time?

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4am_degen

· 6h ago

Powell's recent move, to put it simply, is to force a rate cut. The crypto market's feast is coming. Wait, the market has already priced in this expectation long ago. Now, entering the market requires caution to avoid getting liquidated. 300,000 USD BTC? Just listen, who knows what it will look like when the time comes. The key is to not use too much leverage; policies can change faster than flipping a book.

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RooftopVIP

· 6h ago

Powell really got played this time. The market had already priced in rate cuts, but now they still have to consider political considerations. Whether the crypto space can seize this opportunity to break through remains uncertain.

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RugpullTherapist

· 6h ago

Powell's recent investigation is really incredible; the surface renovation dispute is actually just another tactic by Trump to force a rate cut. The crypto circle must be thrilled, but I think the risks are seriously underestimated. Now that the rate cut expectation has been priced in, a sudden reversal could lead to a sharp crash. --- Wait a minute, BTC at 300,000 USD? If this prediction from Standard Chartered actually comes true, I’d have to go all in haha. But it feels like those entering now have already overdrafted, and when the real liquidity dividend arrives, no one dares to step in. --- The independence of the central bank, to put it simply, is a deadlock between political power and financial autonomy. How long the Fed can hold on is really hard to say. But for us, it doesn’t really matter; as long as leverage is controlled well, we can profit regardless of fluctuations. --- I still vividly remember the fear of BTC being halved in 2020. If political conflicts escalate this time, it might replay the same scenario, so we should be cautious. --- By the way, investors who are already digesting rate cut expectations in advance should have some awareness. In this kind of situation, building positions on dips might be much smarter than chasing highs.

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MEVictim

· 6h ago

Powell really got caught in this wave, but honestly, only the crypto market benefits when interest rate cuts arrive. Politics is politics; we still need to focus on liquidity. We’ve all experienced the zero-interest rate wave in 2020. The key issue is that this time the uncertainty is too high—will there be another flash crash? Leverage traders need to be cautious. If the independence of the central bank is compromised, the consequences are unimaginable. What does a Fed compromise mean? Everyone should be aware. In simple terms, it’s a bet on rate cuts—winning means laughing last; losing means huge losses—there’s no middle ground. 30 million USD is probably just Standard Chartered’s wishful thinking. The market has already priced in rate cut expectations; next, it’s about policy signals. One word: wait. Every political signal is crucial; don’t recklessly leverage.

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PessimisticLayer

· 6h ago

I've seen this trick before. When political pressure comes, liquidity loosens. History might repeat itself... The key still depends on whether the Federal Reserve is truly willing to compromise.

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