2026-01-12 02:21:09

I just brewed a pot of tea and casually browsed the square. One glance and it’s the same old story in 2026—the short-term memory of retail investors is at most seven seconds.

Within half an hour, several waves of people asked: "$ETH 15-minute level has a bullish candle, is this a sign of stabilization? Can I go all-in and chase?"

I remained silent. Watching everyone eager to enter the market, I feel both sympathetic and helpless.

**The key conclusion here: a volume-dry rebound is either a trap for the latecomers or a test of the main force.**

The bulls’ fuel tank has long been empty; why would they still push? Don’t get carried away by those two 15-minute candles—look at the bigger cycle for meaning.

**A few technical signals:**

That needle-like spike reaching near 3147 in the middle of the night was instantly crushed down. What does it indicate? Anything above 3150 is a short-seller’s line of defense—touch it and you’re dead.

What about the 4-hour level? Still in the bottoming phase. MACD shows signs of a golden cross, but volume can’t keep up—this is a volume-less rally, like pressing the accelerator with an empty tank, and the final outcome is a crash.

**Market psychology:**

Right now, it’s just draining your patience. It can’t go up, it can’t go down, making you think it might really be stabilizing. But when you can’t resist going long, that’s when the real scythe arrives.

The zone between 3180-3200? All the chips from those who chased high and got trapped a couple of days ago. Will the main force be kind enough to push it up to clear the traps? Don’t count on it.

**One practical tip: a rebound without volume support isn’t worth chasing.**

ETH0,41%

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Blockchainiac

· 13h ago

Here it comes again, going all-in after 15 minutes of consecutive bullish candles? Really, I have to be cut once every time to be satisfied. --- The massive rebound is purely a trap, looking at that needle being hammered down should make it clear—above 3150 is all knives. --- Stop focusing on the 15-minute K-line. Extend the timeframe to survive longer. This time, there's really no fuel left. --- You've nailed the patience depletion part—just waiting for the moment you can't hold back, then I'll strike. --- It's always like this—retail traders have a seven-second memory and chase highs. Where's your brain? --- MACD golden cross without volume—what's the use? Even with full throttle, you can't run. Understand? --- That 3180 level is full of trapped positions. How could the main force actively unwind positions for you? You're overthinking it.

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SybilSlayer

· 13h ago

Here we go again with this set? Trying to go all-in after 15 minutes of continuous upward movement—are you looking for death? --- The relentless rebound is really hard to watch... always falling for the same trick --- Wait, is 3150 really that dead? It feels like some people still want to give it a try --- I just want to ask, is this round another classic move by the main players to shake out the weak hands? --- Lack of volume, lack of volume—how come so many people still can't see through this? --- Exhausting patience, that's so true. Right now, it's this feeling that's killing me --- 3180-3200 are all trapped... is there really no chance this time? --- Fell silent... me too, every time I see this kind of scene, I don't know what to say --- Running on empty but still pressing the accelerator—what a perfect metaphor, haha --- Only when you look at the bigger cycle do you realize, the temptation of short-term trading is really something to resist

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AirdropChaser

· 13h ago

It's the same old story, retail investors really can't learn their lessons, going all-in after a 15-minute rally, have they lost their minds? Chasing after a massive rebound, I can only say they deserve to be trapped. Watching the 15-minute chart daily for fun, and when the cycle widens, it's shocking. Above 3150 is a death zone, still insisting on pushing in? The scythe is ready. This round of volume contraction rebound, the main force is just testing your patience, don't be fooled, brothers. Looking at how these people chase the high, I know they're about to be cut for chives next. MACD golden cross? What about the volume? Learn to read the volume before talking. That area around 3180 is full of trapped bagholders waiting to be rescued; going long is just giving away money.

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FadCatcher

· 13h ago

Here we go again with this routine. Retail investors just love to chase the 15-minute candlestick. It’s exhausting to watch. Playing small-volume rebounds is not feasible; wait for the volume to pick up.

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SatoshiSherpa

· 13h ago

Here it comes again, watching newcomers scramble to go all-in, it really feels like looking at myself back then. Hesitating at the threshold of诱多, the rebound with low volume is like a sickle. Will you heed the advice this time? Honestly, those who go all-in after a 15-minute rally are most likely the next to be wiped out as retail investors. An increase with no volume? Bro, that's no different from gambling. That 3150 hurdle, if you can't get past it, don't bother. Running on an empty tank and still pressing the accelerator is indeed a good metaphor, but why do some keep rushing towards the gun barrel? I never chase rebounds with low volume; it's the only trading discipline that has saved me. Want to get out of a position? During a pump, the main force is thinking about you. Don't overestimate yourself. The most testing time for patience is during the bottoming process; most people give up before that moment.

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